GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion an der Hafenstrasse
Referee: M. Burda
Rot-Weiß Essen
Match Timeline
Verl
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Gianluca Swajkowski
Rot-Weiß Essen
🟨
20'
Michel Stöcker
Verl
🟨
39'
Yari Otto
Verl
🔄
42'
L. Brumme ↔ M. Kostka
Rot-Weiß Essen
51'
G. Swajkowski
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
64'
J. Hofmann ↔ N. Kaiser
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
64'
G. Swajkowski ↔ R. Reisig
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
65'
J. Eze ↔ J. Stark
Verl
🔄
73'
A. Mesanovic ↔ A. Japaur
Verl
🔄
73'
Y. Otto ↔ F. Wessig
Verl
🟨
78'
Julian Stark
Verl
🔄
81'
R. Safi ↔ M. Obuz
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
81'
T. Musel ↔ D. Schmidt
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
84'
M. Stocker ↔ E. Bamba
Verl
🔄
84'
J. Arweiler ↔ T. Knost
Verl
🟨
88'
Kaito Mizuta
Rot-Weiß Essen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rot-Weiß Essen Win 66.2%
Draw 6.2%
Verl Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rot-Weiß Essen1.76
Verl2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
WWDLW
74 GF / 64 GA
Verl Verl
WLDWL
79 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
30
BTTS Yes
25
25
Over 2.5
27
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 36 matches
Verl Verl 36 matches
Rot-Weiß Essen Statistic Verl
18 Wins 17
10 Draws 10
8 Losses 9
74 Goals For 79
64 Goals Against 47
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
30 BTTS Yes 25
32 Over 1.5 33
25 Over 2.5 27
19 Over 3.5 18
5 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 4
4.7 Shots On Goal 4.9
12.23 Total Shots 13.5
4.47 Corners 5.67
40.5% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rot-Weiß Essen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Verl in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Verl having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Verl. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Rot-Weiß Essen have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Rot-Weiß Essen Analysis

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 4 with 64 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 18 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 74:64, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Janssen (14 goals), K. Mizuta (9 goals), T. Musel (9 goals), with creative support from K. Mizuta (11 assists), L. Brumme (7 assists), D. Abiama (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Verl Analysis

Verl arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 61 points after 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 79:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Arweiler (16 goals), B. Taz (14 goals), A. Besio (11 goals), with creative support from B. Taz (18 assists), O. Mhamdi (8 assists), A. Besio (7 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 times, Verl won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Rot-Weiß Essen's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Rot-Weiß Essen 4-2-3-1 / Verl 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Rot-Weiß Essen wins 1, draws 5, Verl wins 4
Stats
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
Verl Verl
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rot-Weiß Essen
Formation
Verl
J. Golz
J. Golz
B. Huning
B. Huning
J. Rios Alonso
J. Rios Alonso
T. Kraulich
T. Kraulich
J. Hofmann
J. Hofmann
G. Swajkowski
G. Swajkowski
T. Musel
T. Musel
L. Brumme
L. Brumme
R. Safi
R. Safi
K. Mizuta
K. Mizuta
J. Cuber Potocnik
J. Cuber Potocnik
P. Schulze
P. Schulze
O. Mhamdi
O. Mhamdi
M. Ens
M. Ens
M. Stocker
M. Stocker
N. Kijewski
N. Kijewski
B. Taz
B. Taz
J. Eze
J. Eze
Y. Otto
Y. Otto
A. Mesanovic
A. Mesanovic
J. Arweiler
J. Arweiler
M. Worner
M. Worner
Rot-Weiß Essen 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Golz
G
15
B. Huning
D
23
J. Rios Alonso
D
33
T. Kraulich
D
37
J. Hofmann
↓ 64'
M
39
G. Swajkowski
⚽ 51' ↓ 64' 🟨 17'
D
26
T. Musel
↓ 81'
M
14
L. Brumme
↓ 42'
D
7
R. Safi
↓ 81'
M
24
K. Mizuta
🟨 88'
M
9
J. Cuber Potocnik
F
Substitutes
35
F. Wienand
G
18
N. Kaiser
↑ 64'
D
2
M. Kostka
↑ 42'
D
4
M. Schultz
D
30
K. Owusu
M
16
R. Reisig
↑ 64'
M
20
M. Janssen
F
10
M. Obuz
↑ 81'
M
22
D. Schmidt
↑ 81'
F
Verl 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Schulze
G
20
O. Mhamdi
D
5
M. Ens
24
M. Stocker
↓ 84' 🟨 20'
D
19
N. Kijewski
D
10
B. Taz
M
6
J. Eze
↓ 65'
M
28
Y. Otto
↓ 73' 🟨 39'
M
17
A. Mesanovic
↓ 73'
M
9
J. Arweiler
↓ 84'
F
11
M. Worner
F
Substitutes
29
E. Bamba
↑ 84'
M
13
A. Japaur
↑ 73'
F
21
T. Knost
↑ 84'
D
32
F. Pekruhl
7
J. Stark
↑ 65' 🟨 78'
M
18
F. Wessig
↑ 73'
M
Last matches: Rot-Weiß Essen
26.05.26
2.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0
2
L
22.05.26
2.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
16.05.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SSV Ulm 1846
3
2
W
02.05.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Stuttgart II
1
6
L
26.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Saarbrücken
1
2
L
19.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Energie Cottbus
3
5
L
11.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Ingolstadt 04
4
1
W
07.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
1
W
04.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
MSV Duisburg
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Rot-Weiß Essen
VfL Bochum
4
0
W
22.03.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Viktoria Köln
2
1
W
14.03.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Erzgebirge Aue
4
2
W
07.03.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hoffenheim II
4
2
W
04.03.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
W
28.02.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hansa Rostock
2
3
L
21.02.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
VfL Osnabrück
0
3
L
14.02.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
2
W
08.02.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Alemannia Aachen
3
3
D
01.02.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SV Wehen
1
1
D
24.01.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Havelse
4
1
W
Last matches: Verl
16.05.26
3.
Verl
TSV 1860 München
3
0
W
02.05.26
3.
Verl
Havelse
4
0
W
25.04.26
3.
Verl
VfL Osnabrück
1
2
L
18.04.26
3.
Verl
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
12.04.26
3.
Verl
Erzgebirge Aue
1
1
D
08.04.26
3.
Verl
Hansa Rostock
1
2
L
05.04.26
3.
Verl
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
21.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Saarbrücken
3
0
W
15.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
08.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
03.03.26
3.
Verl
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
28.02.26
3.
Verl
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
21.02.26
3.
Verl
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
14.02.26
3.
Verl
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Verl
Kickers Emden
5
2
W
08.02.26
3.
Verl
MSV Duisburg
2
4
L
01.02.26
3.
Verl
Stuttgart II
4
0
W
25.01.26
3.
Verl
SV Wehen
1
2
L
17.01.26
3.
Verl
Waldhof Mannheim
5
2
W
08.01.26
Fri
Verl
Bonner SC
5
0
W
H2H: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl
09.05.26
H2H
Rot-Weiß Essen
Verl
1
0
W
13.12.25
H2H
Verl
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
0
D
28.03.25
H2H
Verl
Rot-Weiß Essen
3
0
L
23.10.24
H2H
Rot-Weiß Essen
Verl
1
3
L
10.03.24
H2H
Verl
Rot-weiss Essen
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
0
5
W
27.05.23
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
2
2
D
21.01.23
H2H
Verl
Rot-weiss Essen
1
1
D
07.08.21
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
4
4
D
21.03.20
H2H
Verl
Rot-weiss Essen
0
0
D
29.09.19
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
1
4
W
Last matches: Rot-Weiß Essen
22.05.26
2.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
26.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Saarbrücken
1
2
L
11.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Ingolstadt 04
4
1
W
04.04.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
MSV Duisburg
1
0
W
14.03.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Erzgebirge Aue
4
2
W
04.03.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
W
14.02.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
2
W
01.02.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SV Wehen
1
1
D
24.01.26
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Havelse
4
1
W
20.12.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
SSV Ulm 1846
3
2
W
05.12.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Stuttgart II
1
1
D
23.11.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Energie Cottbus
2
3
L
02.11.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
1
W
18.10.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Viktoria Köln
1
0
W
01.10.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
20.09.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
17.09.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
VfL Osnabrück
1
1
D
31.08.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
Alemannia Aachen
2
3
L
01.08.25
3.
Rot-Weiß Essen
TSV 1860 München
1
1
D
H2H at home: Rot-Weiß Essen
09.05.26
H2H
Rot-Weiß Essen
Verl
1
0
W
23.10.24
H2H
Rot-Weiß Essen
Verl
1
3
L
Last matches: Verl
25.04.26
3.
Verl
VfL Osnabrück
1
2
L
12.04.26
3.
Verl
Erzgebirge Aue
1
1
D
05.04.26
3.
Verl
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
08.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
28.02.26
3.
Verl
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
21.02.26
3.
Verl
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
08.02.26
3.
Verl
MSV Duisburg
2
4
L
25.01.26
3.
Verl
SV Wehen
1
2
L
08.01.26
Fri
Verl
Bonner SC
5
0
W
20.12.25
3.
Verl
TSV 1860 München
2
0
W
06.12.25
3.
Verl
Havelse
2
2
D
22.11.25
3.
Verl
FC Viktoria Köln
5
1
W
01.11.25
3.
Verl
Hansa Rostock
2
2
D
18.10.25
3.
Verl
FC Saarbrücken
4
2
W
04.10.25
3.
Verl
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
1
W
28.09.25
3.
Verl
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
2
L
13.09.25
3.
Verl
Hoffenheim II
4
2
W
23.08.25
3.
Verl
Stuttgart II
1
1
D
02.08.25
3.
Verl
Waldhof Mannheim
2
2
D
H2H away: Verl
09.05.26
H2H
Rot-Weiß Essen
Verl
1
0
L
23.10.24
H2H
Rot-Weiß Essen
Verl
1
3
W
07.10.23
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
0
5
W
27.05.23
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
2
2
D
07.08.21
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
4
4
D
29.09.19
H2H
Rot-weiss Essen
Verl
1
4
W

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6
Verl Away
38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation