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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
28.08.2026 18:00
FT
2 - 2
Stade Paul-Lignon
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane, France
Rodez
Match Timeline
PAU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
B. Leye · Assist: J. Benet
PAU
🟨
3'
Raphaël Lipinski
Rodez
⚽
28'
I. Balde · Assist: R. Lipinski
Rodez
⚽
37'
B. Leye · Assist: A. Briancon
PAU
🟨
45+3'
Hacene Benali
PAU
🔄
59'
A. Abdallah ↔ S. Basse
PAU
🔄
59'
B. Leye ↔ A. Lefebvre
PAU
🔄
64'
R. Ponti ↔ E. Jean-Lambert
Rodez
🔄
64'
C. Issanchou ↔ S. Luyambula
Rodez
🔄
64'
M. Touho ↔ K. Nagera
Rodez
🔄
64'
L. Rajot ↔ L. Gadegbeku
PAU
🔄
68'
A. Briancon ↔ G. Paquiez
PAU
🔄
68'
H. Benali ↔ A. Mbaye
PAU
🟨
70'
Loni Laurent
Rodez
🔄
72'
D. Pavlovic ↔ O. Joly
Rodez
⚽
83'
O. Joly · Assist: M. Magnin
Rodez
🔄
85'
L. Laurent ↔ N. Nsingi
Rodez
🟨
89'
Mathis Magnin
Rodez

Rodez vs PAU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
1.79 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.77 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Rodez Win 70%
Draw 8.8%
PAU Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rodez2.25
PAU1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rodez Rodez
WWDLW
22 GF / 15 GA
PAU PAU
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
1
6
Over 2.5
4
5.67
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rodez Rodez 8 matches
PAU PAU 8 matches
Rodez Statistic PAU
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
22 Goals For 6
15 Goals Against 12
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 1
8 Over 1.5 4
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
5.67 Shots On Goal 2
15 Total Shots 12.33
7 Corners 4.33
45% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rodez won 6 times, PAU won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Rodez's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Rodez 5-3-2 / PAU 5-3-2
H2H summary: Rodez wins 6, draws 4, PAU wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 19:8 11 16
D L W W W
2 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
3 7 4 2 1 9:7 2 14
W W W L D
4 7 3 4 0 15:9 6 13
D W D W W
5 8 4 1 3 9:7 2 13
W W L L W
6 8 4 1 3 10:9 1 13
W L L W D
7
PAU Away
8 3 2 3 9:8 1 11
W W L D D
8 8 2 5 1 5:6 -1 11
D D W D D
9 7 2 4 1 10:7 3 10
D L W D D
10 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W W D L D
11 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D D
12 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D L
13 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
L D W L W
14
Rodez Home
7 2 1 4 14:16 -2 7
L L L D W
15 7 2 1 4 9:13 -4 7
W L W D L
16 8 0 6 2 4:6 -2 6
D L D D D
17 7 0 6 1 4:6 -2 6
D D D D D
18 8 1 2 5 10:17 -7 5
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3