ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Referee: L. Doughty
Reading
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
J. Richards · Assist: J. Clark
Luton
8'
J. Marriott
Reading
31'
J. Marriott
Reading
38'
J. Marriott · Assist: K. Lisbie
Reading
50'
K. Palmer
Luton
52'
K. Palmer · Assist: N. Wells
Luton
🔄
61'
E. Lawrence ↔ B. Benagr
Luton
🔄
65'
J. Stokes ↔ R. Williams
Reading
🔄
65'
J. Marriott ↔ J. Brown
Reading
🔄
70'
N. Wells ↔ C. Marshall
Luton
🟨
72'
Liam Walsh
Luton
🔄
79'
K. Lisbie ↔ C. Savage
Reading
🔄
79'
D. Kyerewaa ↔ P. Lane
Reading
🔄
81'
I. Jones ↔ H. Ashby
Luton
🔄
81'
K. Palmer ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
🟨
90+5'
Paudie O’Connor
Reading
🟨
90+7'
Gideon Kodua
Luton
🔄
90+4'
A. Rinomhota ↔ L. Fraser
Reading
🔄
90'
H. Odoffin ↔ M. Andersen
Luton
90'
G. Kodua · Assist: J. Richards
Luton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.23
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.3%
2.23
BTTS Yes
53.4%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Reading Win 41.6%
Draw 4.1%
Luton Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Reading1.5
Luton1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Reading Reading
WWDLW
12 GF / 2 GA
Luton Luton
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.25
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
1
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Reading Reading 6 matches
Luton Luton 4 matches
Reading Statistic Luton
5 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
12 Goals For 9
2 Goals Against 3
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
1 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Reading won 5 times, Luton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Reading's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Reading 4-2-3-1 / Luton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Reading wins 5, draws 3, Luton wins 4
Stats
Reading Reading
Luton Luton
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 3
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 6
10 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
304 Total passes 455
216 Passes accurate 377
1.77 expected_goals 1.60
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Reading
Formation
Luton
J. Pereira
J. Pereira
U. Godwin-Malife
U. Godwin-Malife
P. O'Connor
P. O'Connor
B. Ward
B. Ward
J. R. Dorsett A.
J. R. Dorsett A.
L. Wing
L. Wing
A. Rinomhota
A. Rinomhota
K. Lisbie
🎯
K. Lisbie
J. Stokes
J. Stokes
D. Kyerewaa
D. Kyerewaa
J. Marriott
⚽ 3
J. Marriott
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
I. Jones
I. Jones
H. Odoffin
H. Odoffin
G. Johnston
G. Johnston
K. Naismith
K. Naismith
J. Clark
🎯
J. Clark
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
J. Richards
🎯
J. Richards
K. Palmer
⚽ 2
K. Palmer
E. Lawrence
E. Lawrence
N. Wells
🎯
N. Wells
Reading 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pereira
G
2
U. Godwin-Malife
D
15
P. O'Connor
🟨 90+5'
D
16
B. Ward
D
3
J. R. Dorsett A.
D
10
L. Wing
M
4
A. Rinomhota
↓ 90+4'
M
19
K. Lisbie
🎯 38' ↓ 79'
28
J. Stokes
↓ 65'
M
11
D. Kyerewaa
↓ 79'
M
7
J. Marriott
⚽ 8' ⚽ 31' ⚽ 38' ↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Stevens
G
39
A. Ahmed
D
8
C. Savage
↑ 79'
M
6
L. Fraser
↑ 90+4'
M
14
R. Williams
↑ 65'
M
32
P. Lane
↑ 79'
F
18
J. Brown
↑ 65'
F
Luton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
25
I. Jones
↓ 81'
D
2
H. Odoffin
↓ 90'
D
6
G. Johnston
D
3
K. Naismith
D
18
J. Clark
🎯 6'
M
8
L. Walsh
🟨 72'
M
7
J. Richards
⚽ 6' 🎯 90'
M
45
K. Palmer
⚽ 50' ⚽ 52' ↓ 81'
M
11
E. Lawrence
↓ 61'
M
21
N. Wells
🎯 52' ↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
5
M. Andersen
↑ 90'
D
33
H. Ashby
↑ 81'
D
4
S. Sandal
M
9
C. Marshall
↑ 70'
F
30
G. Kodua
⚽ 90' ↑ 81' 🟨 90+7'
F
31
B. Benagr
↑ 61'
Last matches: Reading
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
H2H: Reading vs Luton
07.03.26
H2H
Luton
Reading
2
3
W
18.12.25
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
19.04.23
H2H
Reading
Luton
1
1
D
01.11.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
07.05.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
L
19.01.22
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
09.01.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
L
26.12.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
2
1
W
15.09.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
1
L
04.07.20
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
5
W
09.11.19
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
0
W
Last matches: Reading
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bolton
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Reading
Wycombe
3
2
W
27.01.26
Lea
Reading
Exeter City
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Reading
Barnsley
2
2
D
04.01.26
Lea
Reading
Stockport County
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
0
W
18.12.25
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
09.12.25
Lea
Reading
Peterborough
1
2
L
22.11.25
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
06.11.25
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
1
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Reading
Carlisle
2
3
L
25.10.25
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
1
1
D
21.10.25
Lea
Reading
Northampton
1
0
W
H2H at home: Reading
18.12.25
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
19.04.23
H2H
Reading
Luton
1
1
D
19.01.22
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
2
L
26.12.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
2
1
W
15.09.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
1
L
09.11.19
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
0
W
Last matches: Luton
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
0
1
L
18.12.25
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
H2H away: Luton
18.12.25
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
2
L
19.04.23
H2H
Reading
Luton
1
1
D
19.01.22
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
2
W
26.12.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
2
1
L
15.09.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
1
W
09.11.19
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 3.42
Home 3.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 2.27
Home 3.79
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.65
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 2.75 2.11
Over 3.0 2.52
Over 3.5 3.14
Over 4.5 5.96
Under 1.5 3.74
Under 2.0 2.90
Under 2.25 2.27
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 2.75 1.74
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 3.40
Home 3.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.20
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.50
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.21
Draw 3.32
Home 3.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.78
Draw 2.09
Home 3.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.51
Draw 2.49
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.31
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.41
Over 3.25 2.67
Over 3.5 2.94
Over 3.75 3.50
Over 4.0 4.75
Over 4.25 5.09
Over 4.5 5.40
Over 5.0 9.30
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 8.70
Under 0.75 8.20
Under 1.0 7.70
Under 1.25 4.56
Under 1.5 3.38
Under 1.75 3.06
Under 2.0 2.69
Under 2.25 2.21
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.31
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 3.45
Home 3.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.14
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 2.55
Home 3.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 3.0 2.38
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.0 4.70
Over 4.25 5.00
Over 4.5 5.30
Over 5.0 9.50
Under 1.5 3.45
Under 2.0 2.70
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 3.0 1.49
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.0 1.04

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
4
Luton Away
1 1 0 0 4:3 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
15 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
16 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
17 1 0 0 1 3:4 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two