SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Referee: G. Cuadra
Rayo Vallecano
Match Timeline
Girona
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
Pedro Díaz
Rayo Vallecano
VAR
56'
Álex Moreno
Girona
🔄
58'
P. Diaz ↔ G. Gumbau
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
58'
F. Perez ↔ Alemao
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
60'
T. Lemar ↔ C. Echeverri
Girona
🔄
60'
A. Ounahi ↔ I. Martin
Girona
🔄
68'
S. Camello ↔ Pacha
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
68'
J. de Frutos ↔ C. Martin
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
72'
A. Martinez ↔ H. Rincon
Girona
🔄
85'
F. Beltran ↔ C. Stuani
Girona
86'
Alemao · Assist: U. Lopez
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
88'
U. Lopez ↔ N. Mendy
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
90+4'
Cristhian Stuani
Girona
90'
C. Stuani · Assist: V. Tsygankov
Girona

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rayo Vallecano Win 82.4%
Draw 5.4%
Girona Win 12.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Vallecano1.45
Girona1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WWDLW
73 GF / 58 GA
Girona Girona
WLDWL
40 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
23
BTTS Yes
22
25
Over 2.5
19
4.87
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 52 matches
Girona Girona 36 matches
Rayo Vallecano Statistic Girona
23 Wins 10
13 Draws 11
16 Losses 15
73 Goals For 40
58 Goals Against 55
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
23 BTTS Yes 22
37 Over 1.5 29
25 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 7
18 Clean Sheets 6
14 Failed To Score 9
4.87 Shots On Goal 3.75
14.52 Total Shots 10.31
6.08 Corners 3.97
53.6% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Girona seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Girona. Girona arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Rayo Vallecano Analysis

Rayo Vallecano are currently 11 in the standings with 42 points from 34 matches. The record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:41 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. de Frutos (10 goals), A. Garcia (4 goals), I. Palazon (3 goals), with creative support from A. Garcia (5 assists), I. Palazon (3 assists), Andrei Rațiu (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without I. Akhomach, D. Mendez, Luiz Felipe, I. Palazon, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

Girona Analysis

With 38 points from 34 games and a place of 17, Girona still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 36:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on V. Vanat (9 goals), V. Tsygankov (6 goals), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Tsygankov (4 assists), Bryan Gil (3 assists), Álex Moreno (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with B. Gil, Juan Carlos, Portu unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 6 times, Girona won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Rayo Vallecano's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1 / Girona 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Rayo Vallecano 4, Girona 6
H2H summary: Rayo Vallecano wins 6, draws 5, Girona wins 4
Stats
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Girona Girona
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 6
9 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
484 Total passes 343
404 Passes accurate 272
1.20 expected_goals 0.98
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano
Formation
Girona
A. Batalla
A. Batalla
A. Ratiu
A. Ratiu
P. Ciss
P. Ciss
F. Lejeune
F. Lejeune
P. Chavarria
P. Chavarria
P. Diaz
P. Diaz
O. Valentin
O. Valentin
U. Lopez
🎯
U. Lopez
J. de Frutos
J. de Frutos
S. Camello
S. Camello
F. Perez
F. Perez
P. Gazzaniga
P. Gazzaniga
A. Martinez
A. Martinez
A. Frances
A. Frances
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis
A. Moreno
A. Moreno
A. Witsel
A. Witsel
F. Beltran
F. Beltran
V. Tsygankov
🎯
V. Tsygankov
T. Lemar
T. Lemar
J. Roca
J. Roca
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
Rayo Vallecano 4-3-3
Starting XI
13
A. Batalla
G
2
A. Ratiu
D
6
P. Ciss
D
24
F. Lejeune
D
3
P. Chavarria
D
4
P. Diaz
↓ 58' 🟨 44'
M
23
O. Valentin
M
17
U. Lopez
🎯 86' ↓ 88'
M
19
J. de Frutos
↓ 68'
F
10
S. Camello
↓ 68'
F
21
F. Perez
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Cardenas
G
8
O. Trejo
M
15
G. Gumbau
↑ 58'
M
18
A. Garcia
M
22
Pacha
↑ 68'
D
9
Alemao
⚽ 86' ↑ 58'
F
14
C. Martin
↑ 68'
F
33
J. Vertrouwd
D
32
N. Mendy
↑ 88'
D
20
I. Balliu
D
16
A. Mumin
D
11
R. Nteka
M
Girona 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
P. Gazzaniga
G
4
A. Martinez
↓ 72'
D
16
A. Frances
D
12
Vitor Reis
D
24
A. Moreno
D
20
A. Witsel
M
8
F. Beltran
↓ 85'
M
15
V. Tsygankov
🎯 90'
M
11
T. Lemar
↓ 60'
M
3
J. Roca
M
18
A. Ounahi
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
25
V. Krapyvtsov
G
1
R. Blanco
G
7
C. Stuani
⚽ 90' ↑ 85' 🟨 90+4'
F
17
D. Blind
D
14
C. Echeverri
↑ 60'
M
5
D. Lopez
D
9
A. Ruiz
F
23
I. Martin
↑ 60'
M
36
R. Artero
M
2
H. Rincon
↑ 72'
D
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
27.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
1
W
17.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
2
0
W
14.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
2
0
W
30.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
23.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
3
0
W
03.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1
0
W
22.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
0
1
L
19.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
0
1
L
16.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
1
D
04.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
3
0
W
28.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
1
1
D
Last matches: Girona
23.05.26
La
Girona
Elche
1
1
D
17.05.26
La
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
14.05.26
La
Girona
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
01.05.26
La
Girona
Mallorca
0
1
L
25.04.26
La
Girona
Valencia
1
2
L
21.04.26
La
Girona
Real Betis
2
3
L
10.04.26
La
Girona
Real Madrid
1
1
D
06.04.26
La
Girona
Villarreal
1
0
W
21.03.26
La
Girona
Osasuna
0
1
L
14.03.26
La
Girona
Athletic Club
3
0
W
07.03.26
La
Girona
Levante
1
1
D
01.03.26
La
Girona
Celta Vigo
1
2
L
23.02.26
La
Girona
Alaves
2
2
D
16.02.26
La
Girona
Barcelona
2
1
W
08.02.26
La
Girona
Sevilla
1
1
D
31.01.26
La
Girona
Oviedo
0
1
L
26.01.26
La
Girona
Getafe
1
1
D
16.01.26
La
Girona
Espanyol
2
0
W
10.01.26
La
Girona
Osasuna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Girona
Mallorca
2
1
W
H2H: Rayo Vallecano vs Girona
11.05.26
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
1
D
15.08.25
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
1
3
W
26.01.25
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
1
W
25.09.24
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
0
0
D
26.02.24
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
3
0
L
17.01.24
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
3
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
2
L
18.03.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
2
D
29.12.22
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
2
2
D
15.01.22
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
W
20.06.21
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
W
13.06.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
2
L
10.04.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
1
W
14.12.20
H2H
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
0
0
D
05.01.20
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
0
W
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
17.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
2
0
W
30.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
23.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
3
0
W
03.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
0
1
L
16.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
1
1
D
04.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
3
0
W
28.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
1
1
D
15.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
3
0
W
24.01.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
1
3
L
11.01.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
2
1
W
02.01.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
1
1
D
18.12.25
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Drita
3
0
W
15.12.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
0
0
D
01.12.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
09.11.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
0
D
06.11.25
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Lech Poznan
3
2
W
26.10.25
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rayo Vallecano
11.05.26
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
1
D
26.01.25
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
2
L
18.03.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
2
D
13.06.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
2
L
10.04.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
1
W
05.01.20
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
0
W
Last matches: Girona
17.05.26
La
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
25.04.26
La
Girona
Valencia
1
2
L
10.04.26
La
Girona
Real Madrid
1
1
D
21.03.26
La
Girona
Osasuna
0
1
L
07.03.26
La
Girona
Levante
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Girona
Alaves
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Girona
Sevilla
1
1
D
31.01.26
La
Girona
Oviedo
0
1
L
16.01.26
La
Girona
Espanyol
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Girona
Mallorca
2
1
W
12.12.25
La
Girona
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
07.12.25
La
Girona
Elche
0
3
L
03.12.25
Cop
Girona
Ourense CF
1
2
L
23.11.25
La
Girona
Real Betis
1
1
D
31.10.25
La
Girona
Getafe
1
2
L
28.10.25
Cop
Girona
Constància
3
2
W
18.10.25
La
Girona
Barcelona
1
2
L
23.09.25
La
Girona
Athletic Club
1
1
D
14.09.25
La
Girona
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
24.08.25
La
Girona
Villarreal
0
5
L
H2H away: Girona
11.05.26
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
1
D
26.01.25
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
2
D
13.06.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
2
W
10.04.21
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
2
1
L
05.01.20
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Rayo Vallecano 4 missing
-
I. Akhomach
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Mendez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Luiz Felipe
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
I. Palazon
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Girona 6 missing
-
B. Gil
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Juan Carlos
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Portu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. ter Stegen
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
D. van de Beek
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
V. Vanat
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT