Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rayo Vallecano
52 matches
Girona
36 matches
| Rayo Vallecano | Statistic | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 10 |
| 13 | Draws | 11 |
| 16 | Losses | 15 |
| 73 | Goals For | 40 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.87 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 14.52 | Total Shots | 10.31 |
| 6.08 | Corners | 3.97 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Girona seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Girona. Girona arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Rayo Vallecano are currently 11 in the standings with 42 points from 34 matches. The record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:41 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. de Frutos (10 goals), A. Garcia (4 goals), I. Palazon (3 goals), with creative support from A. Garcia (5 assists), I. Palazon (3 assists), Andrei Rațiu (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without I. Akhomach, D. Mendez, Luiz Felipe, I. Palazon, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
With 38 points from 34 games and a place of 17, Girona still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 36:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on V. Vanat (9 goals), V. Tsygankov (6 goals), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Tsygankov (4 assists), Bryan Gil (3 assists), Álex Moreno (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with B. Gil, Juan Carlos, Portu unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 6 times, Girona won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Rayo Vallecano's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Rayo Vallecano
5
5
6
2
7
2
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Girona
Elche
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Real Sociedad
Girona
Mallorca
Girona
Valencia
Girona
Real Betis
Girona
Real Madrid
Girona
Villarreal
Girona
Osasuna
Girona
Athletic Club
Girona
Levante
Girona
Celta Vigo
Girona
Alaves
Girona
Barcelona
Girona
Sevilla
Girona
Oviedo
Girona
Getafe
Girona
Espanyol
Girona
Osasuna
Girona
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Drita
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Valencia
Girona
Real Madrid
Girona
Osasuna
Girona
Levante
Girona
Alaves
Girona
Sevilla
Girona
Oviedo
Girona
Espanyol
Girona
Mallorca
Girona
Real Sociedad
Girona
Elche
Girona
Ourense CF
Girona
Real Betis
Girona
Getafe
Girona
Constància
Girona
Barcelona
Girona
Athletic Club
Girona
Celta Vigo
Girona
Villarreal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Rayo Vallecano
Home
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 |
Girona
Away
|
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|