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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
30.08.2026 15:00
Allianz Stadion
Referee: Stefan Ebner, Austria
Rapid Vienna
Match Timeline
Sturm Graz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Jurgen Heil
Sturm Graz
⚽
7'
Y. Demir
Rapid Vienna
⚽
10'
B. Beganovic · Assist: S. Seidl
Sturm Graz
⚽
17'
M. Tilio · Assist: T. Adamsen
Rapid Vienna
🔄
46'
J. Horn ↔ E. Roka
Rapid Vienna
🔄
46'
E. Soglo ↔ L. Balbo
Sturm Graz
🔄
46'
J. Hodl ↔ G. Mamageishvili
Sturm Graz
🟨
53'
Jon Gorenc Stanković
Sturm Graz
🟨
59'
Romeo Amane
Rapid Vienna
🔄
59'
B. Beganovic ↔ N. Weiper
Sturm Graz
🔄
61'
M. Tilio ↔ P. Dahl
Rapid Vienna
🟨
65'
Luca Weinhandl
Sturm Graz
🔄
73'
R. Amane ↔ M. Seidl
Rapid Vienna
🔄
73'
T. Adamsen ↔ E. Kara
Rapid Vienna
🔄
75'
S. Seidl ↔ V. Matoshi
Sturm Graz
🔄
81'
P. Koller ↔ J. Quarshie
Sturm Graz
🔄
84'
M. Haidara ↔ N. Wurmbrand
Rapid Vienna
⚽
86'
P. Dahl · Assist: Y. Demir
Rapid Vienna
🟨
89'
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Rapid Vienna
🟥
90'
Albert Vallci
Sturm Graz

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds 2.24
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.7%
2.24 ▥
BTTS No
55%
2.38 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
21.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Rapid Vienna Win 59.7%
Draw 6.7%
Sturm Graz Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rapid Vienna2.11
Sturm Graz1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
WWDLW
54 GF / 19 GA
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
WLDWL
40 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.7
Average Goals Scored
2.22
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
7.67
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 20 matches
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 18 matches
Rapid Vienna Statistic Sturm Graz
15 Wins 9
4 Draws 6
1 Losses 3
54 Goals For 40
19 Goals Against 22
2.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 2
7.67 Shots On Goal 4.38
20.11 Total Shots 15.75
6.11 Corners 6.5
62.9% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rapid Vienna won 5 times, Sturm Graz won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Rapid Vienna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1 / Sturm Graz 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Rapid Vienna wins 5, draws 3, Sturm Graz wins 7

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 21:7 14 18
W W L W W
2 7 5 2 0 18:4 14 17
W D W W W
3 7 5 1 1 19:7 12 16
D L W W W
4 7 3 2 2 8:9 -1 11
L W L D W
5 7 2 2 3 11:12 -1 8
W D L W L
6 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D W W L
7 7 2 2 3 9:12 -3 8
L D W W L
8 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
W L L D W
9 7 2 2 3 6:16 -10 8
D W D L L
10 7 2 1 4 7:13 -6 7
D W L L W
11 7 1 2 4 7:13 -6 5
L L L D L
12 7 1 0 6 5:12 -7 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)