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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 10:00
Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chornomorets Win 47.3%
Draw 5.7%
FC Kharkiv Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chornomorets1.12
FC Kharkiv1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chornomorets Chornomorets
WWDLW
9 GF / 13 GA
FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv
WLDWL
38 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
5
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chornomorets Chornomorets 11 matches
FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv 23 matches
Chornomorets Statistic FC Kharkiv
4 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 12
9 Goals For 38
13 Goals Against 36
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
5 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 17
4 Over 2.5 13
0 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Kharkiv's more proactive style and Chornomorets's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chornomorets expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Kharkiv in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Kharkiv having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Kharkiv. FC Kharkiv carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Chornomorets sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Chornomorets Analysis

So far, Chornomorets have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 5 points from 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 3:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Kharkiv Analysis

FC Kharkiv come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 12 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 12:4 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Chornomorets won 4 times, FC Kharkiv won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Chornomorets's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Chornomorets 4-2-3-1 / FC Kharkiv 4-4-2
H2H summary: Chornomorets wins 4, draws 4, FC Kharkiv wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 15:5 10 18
W W W W L
2 7 6 0 1 15:4 11 18
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 15:5 10 14
D W L D W
4 6 4 1 1 9:5 4 13
W W D L W
5 6 4 0 2 12:4 8 12
W W W L L
6 7 2 3 2 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
7 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
L L D W D
8 7 2 2 3 5:8 -3 8
L W D L W
9 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L D D L W
10 6 1 4 1 4:3 1 7
W L D D D
11 7 1 4 2 4:6 -2 7
L D D W L
12 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D L D W L
13 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D W
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D D
16 7 0 2 5 5:18 -13 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga