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SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
10.09.2026 17:00
EFBET Stadion
Referee: A. Stojanovic
Radnik Surdulica
Match Timeline
FK Crvena Zvezda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ryonosuke Ohori
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
28'
Darko Stojanović
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
37'
Mohammad Abu Fani
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
60'
A. Pejovic ↔ M. Popovic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
60'
K. Balov ↔ S. Gudelj
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
60'
D. Luckassen ↔ Kim Ye-geon
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
60'
L. Loizou ↔ O. Bukari
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
61'
M. Dzangarovski ↔ R. Ohori
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
69'
M. Abu Fani ↔ B. Dieng
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
71'
V. Bogdanovic ↔ L. Zoric
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
79'
D. Stojanovic ↔ D. Jovanovic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
79'
↔ V. Lucic
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
80'
U. Filipovic ↔ U. Ilic
Radnik Surdulica

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds 8.02
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
8.02 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.5%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
17.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
29.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Radnik Surdulica Win 57.6%
Draw 4.1%
FK Crvena Zvezda Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Radnik Surdulica1.21
FK Crvena Zvezda1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica
WWDLW
17 GF / 18 GA
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
WLDWL
46 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
2.3
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
7
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
13
4.29
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 13 matches
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 20 matches
Radnik Surdulica Statistic FK Crvena Zvezda
7 Wins 13
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
17 Goals For 46
18 Goals Against 21
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2.3
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 19
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 3
4.29 Shots On Goal 5.33
14.14 Total Shots 10.08
4.43 Corners 2.92
48.4% Ball Possession 37.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FK Crvena Zvezda's more proactive style and Radnik Surdulica's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FK Crvena Zvezda. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Radnik Surdulica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FK Crvena Zvezda in 3-2-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FK Crvena Zvezda having the stronger overall control. FK Crvena Zvezda look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. FK Crvena Zvezda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Radnik Surdulica sit 6 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Radnik Surdulica Analysis

Radnik Surdulica sit 6 with 11 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:10 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Bogdanović (3 goals), M. Novaković (1 goals), L. Jovanovic (1 goals), with creative support from M. Novaković (1 assists), Đ. Jovanović (1 assists), A. Pejović (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FK Crvena Zvezda Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 15 points from 5 games, FK Crvena Zvezda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 16:1, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Dimitrije Šarić (2 goals), Aleksandar Katai (1 goals), Mohammad Abu Fani (1 goals), with creative support from Aleksandar Katai (3 assists), Mohammad Abu Fani (2 assists), Mirko Ivanić (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Radnik Surdulica won 0 times, FK Crvena Zvezda won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Radnik Surdulica's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1 / FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: Radnik Surdulica wins 0, draws 2, FK Crvena Zvezda wins 3

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 24:3 21 28
W W W D W
2 10 7 1 2 21:10 11 22
D W W W W
3 9 5 2 2 17:9 8 17
W W D D W
4 10 4 4 2 10:12 -2 16
W L W L W
5 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
D L D W L
6 9 4 2 3 14:10 4 14
W L W L W
7 10 3 5 2 14:15 -1 14
D D D W L
8 10 3 4 3 10:11 -1 13
D D W D L
9 10 3 2 5 12:18 -6 11
L D L L L
10 10 2 3 5 13:21 -8 9
L L D L W
11 9 2 2 5 17:19 -2 8
D L L W L
12 9 2 2 5 6:11 -5 8
L W L D L
13 10 2 2 6 6:17 -11 8
L L D D W
14 10 0 3 7 6:19 -13 3
D D L L L
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