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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
29.08.2026 09:00
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
Referee: M. Jahari
Qingdao Jonoon
Match Timeline
Wuhan Three Towns
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Zixian Wei
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
17'
Xu Haofeng
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
24'
Yangyang Jin
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
28'
Gustavo Sauer
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
40'
J. Cadiz · Assist: Gustavo Sauer
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
46'
Luo Senwen ↔ Song Wenjie
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
61'
Gustavo Sauer · Assist: Adriano Firmino
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
64'
He Guan ↔ Zheng Kaimu
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
65'
Jin Yangyang ↔ Song Long
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
65'
Lin Chuangyi ↔ Liu Xinyu
Qingdao Jonoon
VAR
67'
Malcom Edjouma
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
74'
Zixian Wei
Qingdao Jonoon
🟥
74'
Zixian Wei
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
78'
A. Leautey ↔ Liu Yiming
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
78'
Xu Haofeng ↔ Chen Zhechao
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
78'
K. Bevis
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
79'
J. Cadiz · Assist: Adriano Firmino
Wuhan Three Towns
VAR
81'
Jhonder Cádiz
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
83'
Li Ang ↔ Wang Jinxian
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
83'
Gustavo Sauer ↔ Liao Chengjian
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
86'
Malcom Edjouma
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
90+1'
Long Song
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
90+2'
C. Strandberg ↔ Gong Ruicong
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
90+2'
M. Edjouma ↔ Liu Guobao
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
90'
Song Wenjie · Assist: Liu Guobao
Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.69 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Jonoon Win 33%
Draw 32.4%
Wuhan Three Towns Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Jonoon1.49
Wuhan Three Towns1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WWDLW
32 GF / 46 GA
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WLDWL
30 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
16
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
11
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 24 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 22 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Statistic Wuhan Three Towns
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 9
15 Losses 9
32 Goals For 30
46 Goals Against 38
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
16 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 11
12 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 5
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.36
12.71 Total Shots 12.77
4.21 Corners 4.82
45.2% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wuhan Three Towns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Qingdao Jonoon have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

With 14 points from 23 games and a place of 16, Qingdao Jonoon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 31:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Malcom Edjouma (3 goals), Song Wenjie (1 goals), Chuangyi Lin (1 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (2 assists), Malcom Edjouma (1 assists), Senwen Luo (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

With 15 points from 21 games and a place of 15, Wuhan Three Towns still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 30:38 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Jonoon won 2 times, Wuhan Three Towns won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Qingdao Jonoon's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (67.6%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-2 / Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2
H2H summary: Qingdao Jonoon wins 2, draws 1, Wuhan Three Towns wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 27 12 10 5 52:33 19 41
W D D D W
3 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 27 11 8 8 44:35 9 36
W D W W D
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 27 10 6 11 47:47 0 31
L W L W D
11 27 8 5 14 36:47 -11 29
D D L D W
12 27 8 10 9 35:37 -2 28
D D D D D
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 27 6 3 18 34:56 -22 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation