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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
26.09.2026 22:00
Popayan
Match Timeline
Patriotas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
D. Cortes
Popayan
⚽
9'
D. Cortes
Popayan
⚽
11'
D. Cortes
Popayan
🟨
15'
E. Zapata
Patriotas
⚽
33'
J. Aponza
Popayan
🔄
35'
L. Renteria ↔ H. Angulo
Patriotas
🔄
35'
F. Torres ↔ J. Riuz
Patriotas
🟨
41'
H. Mosquera
Popayan
⚽
53'
J. Riuz
Patriotas
⚽
58'
J. Viveros
Popayan
🟨
59'
J. Aponza
Popayan
🔄
64'
D. Cortes ↔ P. Urrutia
Popayan
🔄
64'
K. Alvarez ↔ J. Montes
Patriotas
🟨
72'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🔄
77'
J. Cuero ↔ J. Salcedo
Popayan
🔄
81'
F. Figueroa ↔ T. Molina
Patriotas
🔄
81'
J. Sanchez ↔ E. Arango
Patriotas
🟨
82'
Popayan
Popayan
🟨
83'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🔄
89'
J. Andrade ↔ M. Lucumi
Popayan
🔄
89'
↔ A. Mancilla
Popayan

Popayan vs Patriotas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.19
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.1%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.84 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.19 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Popayan Win 36.9%
Draw 22.9%
Patriotas Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Popayan1.14
Patriotas1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Popayan Popayan
WWDLW
25 GF / 30 GA
Patriotas Patriotas
WLDWL
29 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
14
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Popayan Popayan 23 matches
Patriotas Patriotas 24 matches
Popayan Statistic Patriotas
5 Wins 9
9 Draws 7
9 Losses 8
25 Goals For 29
30 Goals Against 29
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
14 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Patriotas's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Patriotas. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Patriotas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patriotas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Popayan Analysis

Popayan sit 14 with 21 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 23:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Patriotas Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Patriotas have collected 34 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 28:27 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Popayan won 1 times, Patriotas won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Popayan's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.1%)
H2H summary: Popayan wins 1, draws 2, Patriotas wins 4

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 26 9 9 8 33:29 4 36
W W W W W
10 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
11 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
16 26 3 10 13 22:41 -19 19
L D D L D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)