Login Register
COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
03.10.2026 20:30
Estadio La Independencia
Patriotas
Match Timeline
Ind. Yumbo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
J. Mendez
Ind. Yumbo
🟨
45+2'
K. Alvarez
Patriotas
⚽
54'
L. Farias
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
57'
L. Farias ↔ J. Rodriguez
Ind. Yumbo
🟨
61'
F. Figueroa
Patriotas
🟨
65'
J. Rubiano
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
66'
J. Campana ↔ H. Angulo
Patriotas
🔄
66'
F. Figueroa ↔ T. Molina
Patriotas
🔄
66'
T. Diaz ↔ H. Mena
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
75'
F. Pena ↔ J. Diaz
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
75'
J. Rubiano ↔ B. Moya
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
75'
J. Palacios ↔ J. Pajaro
Ind. Yumbo
🟨
81'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🔄
85'
F. Torres ↔ J. Montes
Patriotas
🟨
90+3'
Ind. Yumbo
Ind. Yumbo

Patriotas vs Ind. Yumbo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Patriotas Win 36.4%
Draw 18%
Ind. Yumbo Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patriotas1.04
Ind. Yumbo1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patriotas Patriotas
WWDLW
30 GF / 33 GA
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo
WLDWL
27 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
14
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patriotas Patriotas 25 matches
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo 25 matches
Patriotas Statistic Ind. Yumbo
9 Wins 10
7 Draws 9
9 Losses 6
30 Goals For 27
33 Goals Against 20
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
14 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 3
7 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Ind. Yumbo's more proactive style and Patriotas's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ind. Yumbo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ind. Yumbo having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Patriotas Analysis

Patriotas are currently 9 in the standings with 34 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 29:29 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ind. Yumbo Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Ind. Yumbo have collected 36 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:17 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Patriotas won 0 times, Ind. Yumbo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Patriotas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
H2H summary: Patriotas wins 0, draws 0, Ind. Yumbo wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
10 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
11 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)