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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
12.09.2026 18:45
Stade Jean Bouin
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Paris FC
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
63'
Loïs Openda
Lyon
🟨
69'
Diego Coppola
Paris FC
🔄
75'
L. Openda ↔ K. Nakamura
Lyon
🟨
77'
Hamari Traoré
Paris FC
🔄
79'
L. Koleosho ↔ R. Matondo
Paris FC
🔄
79'
P. Pagis ↔ M. Simon
Paris FC
🔄
87'
I. Kebbal ↔ J. Ikone
Paris FC
🔄
87'
M. Bidstrup ↔ T. Tessmann
Lyon
🔄
87'
E. Nuamah ↔ K. Boudache
Lyon

Paris FC vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.59
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
2.59 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Paris FC Win 56.4%
Draw 9.2%
Lyon Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris FC1.56
Lyon1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris FC Paris FC
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
4
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris FC Paris FC 8 matches
Lyon Lyon 13 matches
Paris FC Statistic Lyon
3 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
13 Goals For 27
13 Goals Against 19
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
4 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 5.86
14.33 Total Shots 15.14
2.67 Corners 5.71
47.3% Ball Possession 54.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC won 0 times, Lyon won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Paris FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Paris FC 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Paris FC 5, Lyon 4
H2H summary: Paris FC wins 0, draws 2, Lyon wins 0

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2
Lyon Away
5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
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Relegation