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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
13.09.2026 11:30
Aukstaitijos Stadium
Referee: V. Paulauskas
Panevėžys
Match Timeline
Kauno Žalgiris
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
E. Veliulis ↔ S. Kouadio
Panevėžys
🔄
46'
Leo Ribeiro ↔ L. Krekovic
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
55'
F. Baldassarra ↔ M. Burba
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
55'
Renan Oliveira ↔ G. Debeljuh
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
56'
S. Keita
Panevėžys
🔄
59'
N. Petkevicius ↔ I. Asante
Panevėžys
🟨
70'
R. Lekiatas
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
75'
K. Asamoah ↔ M. Bacanin
Panevėžys
🔄
75'
D. Balsys ↔ J. Bopesu
Panevėžys
🔄
75'
N. Iyobosa Edokpolor ↔ M. Konatar
Kauno Žalgiris
⚽
83'
L. Krekovic · Assist: G. Debeljuh
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
85'
↔ A. Tolordava
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
90+2'
S. Kouadio
Panevėžys
🟨
90+2'
A. Kalik
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
90+4'
T. Svedkauskas
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
90+1'
R. Rasimavicius ↔ S. Kerkez
Panevėžys

Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.12
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.6%
1.12 ▥
BTTS No
56%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.01 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Panevėžys Win 37.5%
Draw 18.4%
Kauno Žalgiris Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panevėžys1.07
Kauno Žalgiris1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panevėžys Panevėžys
WWDLW
45 GF / 50 GA
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WLDWL
75 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
20
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panevėžys Panevėžys 37 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 41 matches
Panevėžys Statistic Kauno Žalgiris
15 Wins 22
8 Draws 11
14 Losses 8
45 Goals For 75
50 Goals Against 35
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
20 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 30
18 Over 2.5 24
8 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 19
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 2.88
0 Total Shots 5
0 Corners 3.38
0% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kauno Žalgiris's more proactive style and Panevėžys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kauno Žalgiris carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 39 points while Panevėžys sit 7 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kauno Žalgiris. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kauno Žalgiris having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Panevėžys Analysis

Panevėžys sit 7 with 29 points after 26 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 26:41 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 39 points after 23 matches. The return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 41:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panevėžys won 3 times, Kauno Žalgiris won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:22 from Panevėžys's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Panevėžys - / Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Panevėžys wins 3, draws 4, Kauno Žalgiris wins 8

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 28 13 11 4 39:25 14 50
D D L W W
3 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
4 28 13 5 10 41:34 7 44
L W D W L
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L