HUNGARY NB I
--.--.---- --:--
Fehervari uti Stadion
Referee: T. Bognar
Paks
Match Timeline
Debreceni VSC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
3'
Milán Szekszárdi
Paks
5'
K. Horvath
Paks
7'
A. Lang
Debreceni VSC
🟨
18'
Milán Szekszárdi
Paks
🟨
23'
János Hahn
Paks
25'
D. Bode · Assist: J. Windecker
Paks
🟨
42'
Dániel Böde
Paks
44'
A. Guerrero · Assist: D. Patai
Debreceni VSC
🔄
46'
Z. Bevardi ↔ M. Zeke
Paks
🟨
47'
Kevin Horváth
Paks
🟨
55'
Josua Mejías
Debreceni VSC
🟨
60'
Ádám Lang
Debreceni VSC
65'
J. Windecker · Assist: K. Papp
Paks
🔄
66'
D. Patai ↔ M. Szecsi
Debreceni VSC
🔄
67'
J. Hahn ↔ A. Szendrei
Paks
70'
E. Silye · Assist: A. Szendrei
Paks
🔄
75'
A. Guerrero ↔ G. Tercza
Debreceni VSC
🔄
76'
B. Dzsudzsak ↔ F. Manzanara
Debreceni VSC
🔄
76'
A. Lang ↔ G. Komaromi
Debreceni VSC
🔄
84'
S. Szuhodovszki ↔ M. Kohut
Debreceni VSC
🔄
85'
K. Horvath ↔ C. Mate
Paks
🔄
85'
D. Bode ↔ M. Adam
Paks
🟨
89'
Fran Manzanara
Debreceni VSC
🟨
90+4'
Máté Kohut
Debreceni VSC
🔄
90+1'
J. Windecker ↔ G. Gyurkits
Paks
90'
M. Zeke · Assist: K. Papp
Paks

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
56.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paks Win 28.9%
Draw 25.1%
Debreceni VSC Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paks1.41
Debreceni VSC1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paks Paks
WWDLW
59 GF / 51 GA
Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC
WLDWL
47 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
22
BTTS Yes
17
21
Over 2.5
16
3.65
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paks Paks 37 matches
Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC 31 matches
Paks Statistic Debreceni VSC
15 Wins 13
10 Draws 11
12 Losses 7
59 Goals For 47
51 Goals Against 35
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
22 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 23
21 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 7
3.65 Shots On Goal 3.48
9.7 Total Shots 10.48
4.43 Corners 3.55
32% Ball Possession 38.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Debreceni VSC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Paks expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Debreceni VSC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Debreceni VSC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Paks Analysis

Paks come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 47 points after 31 matches. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 55:43, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Bode (9 goals), J. Hahn (9 goals), A. Szendrei (6 goals), with creative support from E. Silye (4 assists), B. Toth (3 assists), K. Horvath (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Debreceni VSC Analysis

Debreceni VSC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 50 points after 31 matches. The record of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 47:35 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Barany (12 goals), B. Dzsudzsak (6 goals), F. Cibla (6 goals), with creative support from B. Dzsudzsak (4 assists), D. Gordic (4 assists), D. Kocsis (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paks won 5 times, Debreceni VSC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Paks's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.9%)
Predicted formations: Paks 5-3-2 / Debreceni VSC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Paks wins 5, draws 6, Debreceni VSC wins 4
Stats
Paks Paks
Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 1
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
267 Total passes 443
176 Passes accurate 326
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Paks
Formation
Debreceni VSC
A. Kovacsik
A. Kovacsik
Z. Bevardi
Z. Bevardi
M. Szekszardi
M. Szekszardi
G. Vas
G. Vas
B. Vecsei
B. Vecsei
E. Silye
E. Silye
J. Windecker
🎯
J. Windecker
K. Papp
🎯
K. Papp
K. Horvath
K. Horvath
D. Bode
D. Bode
J. Hahn
J. Hahn
B. Erdelyi
B. Erdelyi
E. Kusnyir
E. Kusnyir
J. Mejias
J. Mejias
A. Lang
A. Lang
A. Guerrero
A. Guerrero
B. Batik
B. Batik
T. Szucs
T. Szucs
D. Kocsis
D. Kocsis
B. Dzsudzsak
B. Dzsudzsak
D. Patai
🎯
D. Patai
S. Szuhodovszki
S. Szuhodovszki
Paks 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Kovacsik
G
11
Z. Bevardi
↓ 46'
D
26
M. Szekszardi
🟨 18'
D
12
G. Vas
D
5
B. Vecsei
D
14
E. Silye
⚽ 70'
D
22
J. Windecker
⚽ 65' 🎯 25' ↓ 90+1'
M
21
K. Papp
🎯 65' 🎯 90'
M
19
K. Horvath
⚽ 5' ↓ 85' 🟨 47'
M
13
D. Bode
⚽ 25' ↓ 85' 🟨 42'
F
9
J. Hahn
↓ 67' 🟨 23'
F
Substitutes
28
M. Gyetvan
G
17
K. Hinora
29
B. Toth
F
15
A. Szendrei
🎯 70' ↑ 67'
3
A. Alaxai
D
23
C. Mate
↑ 85'
M
7
M. Adam
↑ 85'
F
20
M. Zeke
⚽ 90' ↑ 46'
D
18
G. Gyurkits
↑ 90+1'
M
Debreceni VSC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
B. Erdelyi
G
29
E. Kusnyir
D
4
J. Mejias
🟨 55'
D
26
A. Lang
⚽ 7' ↓ 76' 🟨 60'
D
3
A. Guerrero
⚽ 44' ↓ 75'
D
5
B. Batik
M
8
T. Szucs
19
D. Kocsis
10
B. Dzsudzsak
↓ 76'
M
15
D. Patai
🎯 44' ↓ 66'
M
13
S. Szuhodovszki
↓ 84'
Substitutes
1
P. Demjen
G
86
D. Palfi
77
M. Szecsi
↑ 66'
F
28
M. Hofmann
D
16
F. Manzanara
↑ 76' 🟨 89'
M
49
V. Kulbachuk
D
23
G. Tercza
↑ 75'
D
74
M. Kohut
↑ 84'
20
A. Youga
M
6
V. Camarasa
M
95
A. Bermejo
F
11
G. Komaromi
↑ 76'
F
Last matches: Paks
27.06.26
Fri
Paks
Komárno
4
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
Paks
Szentlőrinc SE
3
3
D
20.06.26
Fri
Paks
Kelen
10
1
W
16.05.26
NB
Paks
Diosgyori VTK
3
1
W
26.04.26
NB
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
19.04.26
NB
Paks
Puskas Academy
1
0
W
11.04.26
NB
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
0
2
L
04.04.26
NB
Paks
Kazincbarcikai
5
1
W
20.03.26
NB
Paks
MTK Budapest
2
0
W
14.03.26
NB
Paks
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
1
D
07.03.26
NB
Paks
Ujpest
0
0
D
28.02.26
NB
Paks
Kisvarda FC
1
2
L
22.02.26
NB
Paks
Gyori ETO FC
3
4
L
14.02.26
NB
Paks
Diosgyori VTK
1
2
L
07.02.26
NB
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
01.02.26
NB
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
24.01.26
NB
Paks
Puskas Academy
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Paks
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Paks
ŁKS Łódź
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
Paks
Ludogorets
2
3
L
Last matches: Debreceni VSC
16.05.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Ujpest
2
1
W
26.04.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Gyori ETO FC
1
1
D
18.04.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Diosgyori VTK
5
0
W
13.04.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
05.04.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
22.03.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Puskas Academy
1
1
D
14.03.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Nyiregyhaza
1
1
D
08.03.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Kazincbarcikai
3
0
W
27.02.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
MTK Budapest
2
2
D
22.02.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
1
D
13.02.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Ujpest
1
2
L
07.02.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Paks
1
0
W
31.01.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Gyori ETO FC
2
2
D
25.01.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Diosgyori VTK
3
2
W
19.01.26
Fri
Debreceni VSC
Maribor
3
2
W
15.01.26
Fri
Debreceni VSC
OFK Beograd
1
2
L
11.01.26
Fri
Debreceni VSC
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
3
L
21.12.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Kisvarda FC
0
1
L
14.12.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Ferencvarosi TC
1
0
W
06.12.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Puskas Academy
0
1
L
H2H: Paks vs Debreceni VSC
03.05.26
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
5
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
Debreceni VSC
Paks
1
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
1
D
18.05.25
H2H
Debreceni VSC
Paks
0
0
D
22.02.25
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
4
3
W
19.10.24
H2H
Debreceni VSC
Paks
0
5
W
10.03.24
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
Debreceni VSC
Paks
1
0
L
27.09.23
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
2
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
0
D
11.02.23
H2H
Debreceni VSC
Paks
2
1
L
10.09.22
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
0
W
20.03.22
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
28.11.21
H2H
Debreceni VSC
Paks
1
1
D
14.08.21
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
3
3
D
Last matches: Paks
27.06.26
Fri
Paks
Komárno
4
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
Paks
Szentlőrinc SE
3
3
D
19.04.26
NB
Paks
Puskas Academy
1
0
W
04.04.26
NB
Paks
Kazincbarcikai
5
1
W
14.03.26
NB
Paks
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
1
D
22.02.26
NB
Paks
Gyori ETO FC
3
4
L
14.02.26
NB
Paks
Diosgyori VTK
1
2
L
01.02.26
NB
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
13.01.26
Fri
Paks
ŁKS Łódź
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
Paks
Ludogorets
2
3
L
09.01.26
Fri
Paks
Sumqayıt
5
1
W
20.12.25
NB
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
2
1
W
06.12.25
NB
Paks
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
23.11.25
NB
Paks
Ujpest
1
3
L
08.11.25
NB
Paks
Kisvarda FC
5
3
W
18.10.25
NB
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
1
D
27.09.25
NB
Paks
Puskas Academy
3
2
W
29.08.25
NB
Paks
Kazincbarcikai
3
0
W
17.08.25
NB
Paks
Zalaegerszegi TE
2
2
D
14.08.25
UEF
Paks
Polessya
2
1
W
H2H at home: Paks
03.05.26
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
5
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
4
3
W
10.03.24
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
1
D
27.09.23
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
2
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
0
D
10.09.22
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
0
W
20.03.22
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
14.08.21
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
3
3
D
Last matches: Debreceni VSC
18.04.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Diosgyori VTK
5
0
W
13.04.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
22.03.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Puskas Academy
1
1
D
08.03.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Kazincbarcikai
3
0
W
22.02.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
1
D
13.02.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Ujpest
1
2
L
31.01.26
NB
Debreceni VSC
Gyori ETO FC
2
2
D
19.01.26
Fri
Debreceni VSC
Maribor
3
2
W
11.01.26
Fri
Debreceni VSC
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
3
L
14.12.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Ferencvarosi TC
1
0
W
28.11.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Nyiregyhaza
3
0
W
09.11.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
MTK Budapest
0
3
L
18.10.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Paks
1
1
D
27.09.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Diosgyori VTK
0
0
D
21.09.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Kisvarda FC
1
0
W
22.08.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Puskas Academy
3
1
W
08.08.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Kazincbarcikai
2
1
W
26.07.25
NB
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
3
D
H2H away: Debreceni VSC
03.05.26
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
5
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
4
3
L
10.03.24
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
1
D
27.09.23
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
2
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
0
D
10.09.22
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
1
0
L
20.03.22
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
Paks
Debreceni VSC
3
3
D

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 65:30 35 69
W W D W W
2 33 21 5 7 67:31 36 68
W W W L W
3
Paks Home
33 15 8 10 63:46 17 53
W W L W L
4 33 14 11 8 51:41 10 53
W L D W D
5 33 13 9 11 49:43 6 48
L L L W L
6 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
D W W L L
7 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
L L L W W
8 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
L L L L D
9 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
D D W L W
10 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
D D D W W
11 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
L L W L L
12 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22
D W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - NB II.