Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.5%
|
- |
Oviedo
Villarreal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Oviedo
32 matches
Villarreal
42 matches
| Oviedo | Statistic | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 20 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 17 | Losses | 16 |
| 26 | Goals For | 68 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.34 | Shots On Goal | 4.76 |
| 9.84 | Total Shots | 13.55 |
| 3.81 | Corners | 4.31 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Villarreal's more proactive style and Oviedo's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Villarreal carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 61 points while Oviedo sit 20 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Villarreal. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oviedo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Villarreal in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Villarreal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Oviedo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 27 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 24:48 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Federico Viñas (9 goals), Alberto Reina (4 goals), Ilyas Chaira (4 goals), with creative support from T. Fernandez (4 assists), H. Hassan (3 assists), Ilyas Chaira (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Dendoncker, L. Ilic, A. Fores, N. Fonseca unavailable.
Villarreal approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 61 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a 56:36 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Moleiro (9 goals), G. Mikautadze (9 goals), G. Moreno (8 goals), with creative support from G. Mikautadze (5 assists), Santi Comesaña (5 assists), A. Moleiro (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Partey, P. Cabanes, L. Costa, S. Comesana unavailable.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 0 times, Villarreal won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Oviedo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Oviedo
4
3
8
3
3
1
Lineups
Oviedo
Mallorca
Oviedo
Alaves
Oviedo
Real Madrid
Oviedo
Getafe
Oviedo
Real Betis
Oviedo
Elche
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Sevilla
Oviedo
Levante
Oviedo
Valencia
Oviedo
Espanyol
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Real Sociedad
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Girona
Oviedo
Barcelona
Oviedo
Osasuna
Oviedo
Real Betis
Oviedo
Alaves
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Sevilla
Villarreal
Mallorca
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Girona
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Alaves
Villarreal
Elche
Villarreal
Barcelona
Villarreal
Valencia
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Getafe
Villarreal
Espanyol
Villarreal
Osasuna
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Ajax
Oviedo
Alaves
Oviedo
Getafe
Oviedo
Elche
Oviedo
Sevilla
Oviedo
Valencia
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Girona
Oviedo
Real Betis
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Mallorca
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Osasuna
Oviedo
Espanyol
Oviedo
Levante
Oviedo
Barcelona
Oviedo
Real Sociedad
Oviedo
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Mallorca
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Girona
Villarreal
Alaves
Villarreal
Barcelona
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Getafe
Villarreal
Osasuna
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
Real Betis
Villarreal
Elche
Villarreal
Racing Santander
Villarreal
Antoniano
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
Villarreal
Espanyol
Villarreal
Pafos
Villarreal
Ciudad de Lucena
Villarreal
Valencia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Villarreal
Away
|
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 |
Oviedo
Home
|
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|