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12.10.2026 16:30
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Oviedo vs Eibar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Oviedo Win 30.7%
Draw 3.6%
Eibar Win 65.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oviedo1.08
Eibar1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oviedo Oviedo
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Eibar Eibar
WLDWL
28 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
2.15
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
4
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
4.13
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oviedo Oviedo 13 matches
Eibar Eibar 13 matches
Oviedo Statistic Eibar
5 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
16 Goals For 28
12 Goals Against 11
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 0
4.13 Shots On Goal 5
14.38 Total Shots 11.13
5.38 Corners 3
50.4% Ball Possession 41.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Eibar's more proactive style and Oviedo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Eibar look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Eibar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Oviedo sit 10 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Eibar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Oviedo Analysis

So far, Oviedo have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alberto Reina (2 goals), Enzo Perez (1 goals), Dani Calvo (1 goals), with creative support from Enzo Perez (1 assists), Mikel Goti (1 assists), David Jiménez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Eibar Analysis

Eibar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 21 points after 8 outings. The return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 18:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Jon Guruzeta (3 goals), Malcom Adu (2 goals), Ander Madariaga (2 goals), with creative support from Malcom Adu (3 assists), Jon Guruzeta (2 assists), Ander Madariaga (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 3 times, Eibar won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Oviedo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Oviedo 4-2-3-1 / Eibar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oviedo wins 3, draws 5, Eibar wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Eibar Away
8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
5 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
7 8 3 4 1 8:6 2 13
D D W L W
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
12 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
13 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
15 8 3 0 5 13:18 -5 9
W L W L L
16 8 2 2 4 11:13 -2 8
L L L W D
17 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
18 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L D L L W
19 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
20 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
21 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
D W D L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation