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BRAZIL › SERIE B
16.05.2026 19:00
Estádio Germano Krüger
Referee: Arthur Gomes Rabelo, Brazil
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
Pablo · Assist: Aylon
Operario-PR
🟨
24'
Gabriel Boschilia
Operario-PR
⚽
27'
Derek · Assist: Vinicius
Nautico Recife
🔄
28'
Derek ↔ Paulo Sergio
Nautico Recife
🟨
43'
Wanderson
Nautico Recife
⚽
45'
Reginaldo · Assist: Vinicius
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Pedro Vilhena ↔ Gabriel Feliciano
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Aylon ↔ H. Pereira
Operario-PR
⚽
53'
Vinicius · Assist: Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
🔄
57'
Moraes ↔ Matheus Trindade
Operario-PR
🔄
58'
J. Pool ↔ Felipe Augusto
Operario-PR
🔄
61'
Victor Andrade ↔ Junior Todinho
Nautico Recife
⚽
63'
Junior Todinho · Assist: Paulo Sergio
Nautico Recife
⚽
67'
Boschilia
Operario-PR
⚽
68'
Dodo · Assist: Wenderson
Nautico Recife
🔄
76'
Neto Paraiba ↔ Caio Dantas
Operario-PR
🔄
77'
Wenderson ↔ Matheus Ribeiro
Nautico Recife
🟨
78'
Hildeberto Pereira
Operario-PR
🔄
78'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Samuel Felix
Nautico Recife
🔄
78'
Dodo ↔ Leonai Souza
Nautico Recife
🟨
84'
William Klaus
Operario-PR
🟨
90+1'
Hildeberto Pereira
Operario-PR
🟥
90+1'
Hildeberto Pereira
Operario-PR
⚽
90'
Paulo Sergio · Assist: Junior Todinho
Nautico Recife

Operario-PR vs Nautico Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 42%
Draw 16.8%
Nautico Recife Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR0.88
Nautico Recife0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
2
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 8 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 8 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Nautico Recife
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
7 Goals For 9
6 Goals Against 7
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.13
12.63 Total Shots 14.13
5.5 Corners 5.25
54.5% Ball Possession 57.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nautico Recife. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Operario-PR Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Operario-PR have collected 12 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (3 goals), Pablo (2 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (2 assists), Gabriel Boschilia (1 assists), Aylon (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Placed 4 with 13 points from 8 outings, Nautico Recife continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vinícius (4 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), Dodo (1 goals), with creative support from Yuri (2 assists), Dodo (1 assists), Reginaldo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 2 times, Nautico Recife won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:17 from Operario-PR's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-2-3-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 2, draws 2, Nautico Recife wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 10 13 10 40:39 1 43
D L L D D
14 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
15 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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