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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
13.09.2026 23:10
Estadio Palogrande
Referee: F. Trujillo
Once Caldas
Match Timeline
Deportivo Cali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Juan Dinenno
Deportivo Cali
⚽
12'
N. Benedetti · Assist: J. Martinez
Deportivo Cali
🟨
15'
Gustavo Cuéllar
Deportivo Cali
🔄
46'
J. Alvarado ↔ J. Quinones
Once Caldas
⚽
50'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez · Assist: A. Roa
Once Caldas
🔄
60'
J. Cardona ↔ J. Castano
Once Caldas
🔄
66'
J. Martinez ↔ E. Reynoso
Deportivo Cali
🔄
67'
P. Gomez ↔ E. Torres
Once Caldas
🔄
74'
N. Benedetti ↔ A. Hurtado
Deportivo Cali
🔄
74'
Titi ↔ J. Dinenno
Deportivo Cali
🔄
81'
A. Roa ↔ J. Nieto
Once Caldas
🔄
81'
M. Barrios ↔ J. Beltran
Once Caldas
⚽
83'
J. Dinenno · Assist: E. Reynoso
Deportivo Cali
🔄
87'
F. Alvarez ↔ J. Tello
Deportivo Cali

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.4%
2.07 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.26 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.5%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Once Caldas Win 51.4%
Draw 14.7%
Deportivo Cali Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Once Caldas1.23
Deportivo Cali1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WWDLW
45 GF / 35 GA
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WLDWL
31 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
22
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
7
5.61
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Once Caldas Once Caldas 30 matches
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 28 matches
Once Caldas Statistic Deportivo Cali
10 Wins 10
15 Draws 10
5 Losses 8
45 Goals For 31
35 Goals Against 23
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
22 BTTS Yes 12
25 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 8
5.61 Shots On Goal 4.04
14.82 Total Shots 12.42
5.29 Corners 4.58
54.2% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Once Caldas expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Deportivo Cali in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cali having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Cali. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Once Caldas Analysis

Once Caldas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 33 points after 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 31:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Moreno (11 goals), J. Zapata (10 goals), Pipe Gómez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Cuesta (7 assists), A. Correa (4 assists), Pipe Gómez (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

So far, Deportivo Cali have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Steven Rodríguez (9 goals), Avilés Hurtado (5 goals), Johan Martínez (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Martínez (5 assists), Steven Rodríguez (2 assists), Eduard Bello (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas won 6 times, Deportivo Cali won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:7 from Once Caldas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Once Caldas 4-3-3 / Deportivo Cali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Once Caldas wins 6, draws 7, Deportivo Cali wins 2

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D D L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W L L D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification