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11.05.2026 16:00
Stade El Massira
Referee: M. El Houidri
Olympique Safi
Match Timeline
FUS Rabat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
F. Karmoune
Olympique Safi
🟨
57'
Walid Atik
Olympique Safi
🔄
59'
S. Tazi ↔ C. Faidi
FUS Rabat
🔄
59'
S. Benyachou ↔ A. Souane
FUS Rabat
🟨
70'
Fred Duval Ngoma
Olympique Safi
🔄
72'
A. Habbassi ↔ Y. Najari
Olympique Safi
⚽
76'
A. Mouloua
FUS Rabat
🔄
80'
W. Atik ↔ A. Eddaou
Olympique Safi
🔄
80'
D. Bassinga ↔ I. Moutaraji
FUS Rabat
🟨
83'
Amine Souane
FUS Rabat
🔄
89'
A. Mahir ↔ H. Moujahid
FUS Rabat

Olympique Safi vs FUS Rabat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 20%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 46.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
20%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
46.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Olympique Safi Win 9.8%
Draw 7.3%
FUS Rabat Win 82.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olympique Safi1.03
FUS Rabat1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olympique Safi Olympique Safi
WWDLW
16 GF / 30 GA
FUS Rabat FUS Rabat
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
13
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olympique Safi Olympique Safi 19 matches
FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 19 matches
Olympique Safi Statistic FUS Rabat
2 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
10 Losses 8
16 Goals For 23
30 Goals Against 25
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Olympique Safi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FUS Rabat. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olympique Safi expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and FUS Rabat in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FUS Rabat having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FUS Rabat carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 25 points while Olympique Safi sit 16 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Olympique Safi Analysis

Olympique Safi sit 16 with 13 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 16:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Kone (5 goals), F. Karmoune (3 goals), S. El Moudane (2 goals), with creative support from Anass Eddaou (2 assists), S. El Moudane (1 assists), A. Soufeir (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FUS Rabat Analysis

FUS Rabat are currently 8 in the standings with 25 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 23:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Mouloua (5 goals), S. Benyachou (5 goals), L. Diakite (3 goals), with creative support from S. Tazi (4 assists), A. Serrhat (2 assists), Amine Souane (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olympique Safi won 2 times, FUS Rabat won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:18 from Olympique Safi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Olympique Safi 4-1-4-1 / FUS Rabat 4-3-3
H2H summary: Olympique Safi wins 2, draws 6, FUS Rabat wins 7

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation