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13.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Referee: J. Benitez
Olimpia
Match Timeline
Sportivo Luqueno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
40'
R. Ortiz · Assist: E. Delmas
Olimpia
🟨
45'
Francisco Mongelos
Sportivo Luqueno
⚽
45'
R. Benitez
Olimpia
🔄
46'
B. Bentaberry ↔ G. Vargas
Olimpia
🔄
46'
A. Balbuena ↔ O. Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
49'
Romeo Benítez
Olimpia
🟨
49'
Óscar Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
60'
R. Redes ↔ J. F. Alfaro
Olimpia
🔄
60'
T. Muro ↔ W. Gonzalez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
61'
S. Ocampos ↔ L. Comas
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
63'
Juan Fernando Alfaro
Olimpia
🔄
72'
L. Morales ↔ A. M. Martinez Cubilla
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
73'
R. Benitez ↔ F. Alfonso
Olimpia
⚽
77'
F. Cardozo · Assist: F. Alfonso
Olimpia
🔄
79'
E. Delmas ↔ S. Quintana
Olimpia
🔄
79'
F. Cardozo ↔ R. Lezcano
Olimpia
🔄
86'
A. Maiz ↔ S. Beltran
Sportivo Luqueno

Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.2%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Olimpia Win 63.2%
Draw 4.5%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olimpia1.6
Sportivo Luqueno1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olimpia Olimpia
WWDLW
51 GF / 32 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
35 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
18
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
19
5.07
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olimpia Olimpia 32 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 31 matches
Olimpia Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
19 Wins 8
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 17
51 Goals For 35
32 Goals Against 50
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
18 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 10
5.07 Shots On Goal 3.94
14.9 Total Shots 10.77
5.1 Corners 3.45
53.7% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Olimpia's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Luqueno. Olimpia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 16 points compared to Sportivo Luqueno in 9 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Olimpia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 16 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 14:9 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on H. Sandoval (2 goals), R. Benitez (1 goals), A. Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from R. Benitez (1 assists), A. Rodríguez (1 assists), E. Delmás (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno sit 9 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Bogado (1 goals), L. Morales (1 goals), A. Maíz (1 goals), with creative support from G. Bogado (1 assists), L. Morales (1 assists), A. Maíz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia won 14 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:10 from Olimpia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Olimpia 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Olimpia wins 14, draws 0, Sportivo Luqueno wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
5 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)