BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Den Dreef
Referee: A. Letellier
OH Leuven
Match Timeline
Charleroi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Sory Kaba
OH Leuven
🔄
46'
B. Kayo ↔ L. Lakomy
OH Leuven
🔄
46'
T. Vlietinck ↔ O. Gil
OH Leuven
53'
A. Bernier · Assist: K. Van Den Kerkhof
Charleroi
🔄
59'
A. Colassin ↔ A. Scheidler
Charleroi
🔄
59'
P. Pflucke ↔ J. Romsaas
Charleroi
69'
A. Scheidler · Assist: K. Van Den Kerkhof
Charleroi
🔄
77'
T. Verlinden ↔ M. Maertens
OH Leuven
🔄
77'
Y. Maziz ↔ K. Vaesen
OH Leuven
🔄
77'
S. Kaba ↔ C. Ikwuemesi
OH Leuven
🟨
80'
Siebe Schrijvers
OH Leuven
🔄
80'
A. Bernier ↔ Y. Cisse
Charleroi
🔄
86'
Y. Khalifi ↔ J. Gaudin
Charleroi
🔄
86'
K. Van Den Kerkhof ↔ M. Boukamir
Charleroi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.5%
-
Probability Distribution
OH Leuven Win 47.7%
Draw 22.7%
Charleroi Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
OH Leuven1.14
Charleroi1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
OH Leuven OH Leuven
WWDLW
33 GF / 50 GA
Charleroi Charleroi
WLDWL
43 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
16
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
17
4.21
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

OH Leuven OH Leuven 34 matches
Charleroi Charleroi 36 matches
OH Leuven Statistic Charleroi
9 Wins 10
8 Draws 9
17 Losses 17
33 Goals For 43
50 Goals Against 50
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
16 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 28
15 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 9
4.21 Shots On Goal 4.19
13.26 Total Shots 12.22
4.85 Corners 5.17
45.9% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with OH Leuven expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Charleroi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charleroi having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Charleroi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

OH Leuven Analysis

With 18 points from 34 games and a place of 6, OH Leuven still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 33:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Kaba (6 goals), Ewoud Pletinckx (5 goals), Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi (4 goals), with creative support from Siebe Schrijvers (4 assists), T. Verlinden (4 assists), L. Lakomy (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charleroi Analysis

Charleroi sit 5 with 21 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 40:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Guiagon (8 goals), A. Bernier (5 goals), Y. Titraoui (4 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, OH Leuven won 7 times, Charleroi won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from OH Leuven's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: OH Leuven 3-4-3 / Charleroi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: OH Leuven wins 7, draws 6, Charleroi wins 2
Stats
OH Leuven OH Leuven
Charleroi Charleroi
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 4
0 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 2
3 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
512 Total passes 381
448 Passes accurate 318
0.19 expected_goals 1.27
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

OH Leuven
Formation
Charleroi
T. Leysen
T. Leysen
E. Pletinckx
E. Pletinckx
R. Nyakossi
R. Nyakossi
T. Ominami
T. Ominami
T. Vlietinck
T. Vlietinck
B. Kayo
B. Kayo
S. Schrijvers
S. Schrijvers
H. Teklab
H. Teklab
T. Verlinden
T. Verlinden
S. Kaba
S. Kaba
Y. Maziz
Y. Maziz
M. Kone
M. Kone
L. Blum
L. Blum
A. Ousou
A. Ousou
C. Keita
C. Keita
M. Nzita
M. Nzita
E. Camara
E. Camara
Y. Khalifi
Y. Khalifi
K. Van Den Kerkhof
🎯
K. Van Den Kerkhof
P. Pflucke
P. Pflucke
A. Bernier
A. Bernier
A. Colassin
A. Colassin
OH Leuven 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
T. Leysen
G
28
E. Pletinckx
D
34
R. Nyakossi
D
5
T. Ominami
D
77
T. Vlietinck
↓ 46'
M
48
B. Kayo
↓ 46'
M
8
S. Schrijvers
🟨 80'
M
14
H. Teklab
M
7
T. Verlinden
↓ 77'
F
39
S. Kaba
↓ 77' 🟨 38'
F
10
Y. Maziz
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Prevot
G
6
W. George
33
M. Maertens
↑ 77'
M
24
L. Lakomy
↑ 46'
M
27
O. Gil
↑ 46'
D
21
W. Balikwisha
F
17
K. Vaesen
↑ 77'
F
30
T. Akimoto
D
19
C. Ikwuemesi
↑ 77'
F
Charleroi 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
M. Kone
G
27
L. Blum
D
4
A. Ousou
D
95
C. Keita
D
24
M. Nzita
D
5
E. Camara
M
40
Y. Khalifi
↓ 86'
M
3
K. Van Den Kerkhof
🎯 53' 🎯 69' ↓ 86'
M
14
P. Pflucke
↓ 59'
M
17
A. Bernier
⚽ 53' ↓ 80'
M
25
A. Colassin
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
55
M. Delavallee
21
A. Scheidler
⚽ 69' ↑ 59'
F
8
J. Romsaas
↑ 59'
M
9
F. Szymczak
F
43
Q. Benaets
F
23
J. Gaudin
↑ 86'
D
32
M. Boukamir
↑ 86'
D
45
Y. Cisse
↑ 80'
M
77
M. Noto
M
Last matches: OH Leuven
23.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
0
2
L
19.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
1
D
15.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
3
0
W
08.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
2
L
02.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
3
3
D
21.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
0
2
L
12.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
0
0
D
04.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
3
L
22.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
1
0
W
14.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
2
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
28.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Anderlecht
1
5
L
21.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Dender
3
2
W
07.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Gent
3
1
W
01.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
2
2
D
24.01.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
18.01.26
Jup
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
0
1
L
08.01.26
Fri
OH Leuven
Preußen Münster
1
2
L
Last matches: Charleroi
23.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
2
0
W
19.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
1
1
D
16.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
10.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
1
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
2
0
W
21.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
1
1
D
18.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
2
L
10.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
1
W
05.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
14.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Dender
2
2
D
01.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
22.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
Gent
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
3
4
L
31.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
St. Truiden
2
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
0
W
18.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Charleroi
SC Paderborn 07
2
3
L
H2H: OH Leuven vs Charleroi
19.05.26
H2H
Charleroi
OH Leuven
1
1
D
25.04.26
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
2
L
14.03.26
H2H
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
2
W
27.07.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
2
2
D
24.05.25
H2H
Charleroi
OH Leuven
2
1
L
28.03.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
0
D
14.12.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
2
W
17.02.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
0
D
29.07.23
H2H
Charleroi
OH Leuven
1
1
D
10.03.23
H2H
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
1
W
10.09.22
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
3
2
W
02.07.22
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
3
1
W
27.12.21
H2H
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
3
W
08.08.21
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
1
D
Last matches: OH Leuven
23.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
0
2
L
15.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
3
0
W
21.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
3
L
22.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
1
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
14.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Dender
3
2
W
01.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
2
2
D
24.01.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
21.12.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Cercle Brugge
0
2
L
07.12.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
23.11.25
Jup
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
1
2
L
02.11.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Gent
4
0
W
18.10.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Club Brugge KV
0
1
L
26.09.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Anderlecht
1
1
D
20.09.25
Jup
OH Leuven
RAAL La Louvière
1
2
L
31.08.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
0
W
15.08.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
1
2
L
27.07.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
2
2
D
H2H at home: OH Leuven
25.04.26
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
2
L
27.07.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
2
2
D
28.03.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
0
D
14.12.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
0
D
10.09.22
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
3
2
W
02.07.22
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
3
1
W
08.08.21
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
1
D
Last matches: Charleroi
23.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
2
0
W
10.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
1
0
W
21.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
1
1
D
05.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
07.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Dender
2
2
D
22.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
31.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
St. Truiden
2
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Charleroi
SC Paderborn 07
2
3
L
26.12.25
Jup
Charleroi
Anderlecht
2
1
W
07.12.25
Jup
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
22.11.25
Jup
Charleroi
Club Brugge KV
0
1
L
31.10.25
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
3
L
18.10.25
Jup
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
03.10.25
Jup
Charleroi
Gent
1
2
L
17.09.25
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
1
0
W
14.09.25
Jup
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
3
2
W
10.08.25
Jup
Charleroi
RAAL La Louvière
0
1
L
27.07.25
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
2
2
D
H2H away: Charleroi
25.04.26
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
2
W
27.07.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
2
2
D
28.03.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
0
D
14.12.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
0
D
10.09.22
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
3
2
L
02.07.22
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
3
1
L
08.08.21
H2H
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
1
D

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round