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LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
02.05.2026 14:00
Referee: K. Ratnieks
Ogre United
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
K. Cudars · Assist: M. Ivulans
Ogre United
⚽
17'
I. Diomande
Rīgas FS
⚽
28'
K. Cudars
Ogre United
🔄
34'
M. Talla ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
⚽
42'
E. Evelons · Assist: M. Kalnins
Ogre United
⚽
43'
J. Ikaunieks · Assist: I. Diomande
Rīgas FS
🟨
45+1'
Z. Lipuscek
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
M. Marusii ↔ R. Aditajs
Ogre United
🔄
46'
G. Mankenda ↔ A. Kouadio
Rīgas FS
🔄
55'
K. Cudars ↔ K. Hayashi
Ogre United
🔄
55'
M. Kalnins ↔ H. Silagailis
Ogre United
⚽
57'
Z. Lipuscek · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
61'
D. Vejkrigers ↔ K. Kumakura
Ogre United
🔄
65'
I. Diomande ↔ D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
🔄
67'
M. Ivulans ↔ K. Johnson
Ogre United
🔄
85'
R. Savalnieks ↔ H. Njie
Rīgas FS
⚽
90'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS

Ogre United vs Rīgas FS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 91.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
91.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ogre United Win 8.6%
Draw 0%
Rīgas FS Win 91.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ogre United0.71
Rīgas FS1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ogre United Ogre United
WWDLW
6 GF / 18 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
43 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
2.05
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
6
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ogre United Ogre United 11 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 21 matches
Ogre United Statistic Rīgas FS
0 Wins 15
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 2
6 Goals For 43
18 Goals Against 20
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.05
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
6 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 15
4 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rīgas FS. Rīgas FS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 22 points while Ogre United sit 10 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control.

Ogre United Analysis

Ogre United sit 10 with 3 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 5:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Cudars (1 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), K. Volkovs (1 goals), with creative support from D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), F. Machado (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 22 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 16:6 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on J. Ikaunieks (4 goals), D. Lemajic (3 goals), S. Panic (3 goals), with creative support from L. Odisharia (3 assists), R. Savalnieks (3 assists), J. Ikaunieks (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ogre United won 0 times, Rīgas FS won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:15 from Ogre United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ogre United - / Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ogre United wins 0, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 4

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 24 5 2 75:24 51 77
W D W D W
2 32 23 7 2 88:30 58 76
W W W D D
3 31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
D W D W D
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 32 11 9 12 37:36 1 42
W D L D L
6 31 11 5 15 31:41 -10 38
W L L W W
7 32 8 8 16 34:53 -19 32
L L D L W
8 32 5 11 16 22:54 -32 26
L D D L W
9 32 5 9 18 44:63 -19 24
L D L W L
10 32 4 6 22 31:78 -47 18
L W L D L