Northampton
Match Timeline
Newport County
Northampton vs Newport County Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
70.3%
|
4.82 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
9.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
15.00 |
Probability Distribution
Northampton Win 21%
Draw 8.6%
Newport County Win 70.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northampton1.33
Newport County1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northampton
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Newport County
WLDWL
23 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
4
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
11
3
Shots on Goal
3.75
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Northampton
9 matches
Newport County
12 matches
| Northampton | Statistic | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 9 | Goals For | 23 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.92 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 9.5 | Total Shots | 8.75 |
| 6 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 43.8% | Ball Possession | 33.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 8 times, Newport County won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Northampton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Northampton 4-4-2 / Newport County 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Northampton wins 8, draws 2, Newport County wins 3
Standings
League Two
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Newport County
Away
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 22 |
Northampton
Home
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League