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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
12.09.2026 14:00
Referee: K. Kulljastinen
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
44'
I. Krasnov · Assist: Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
🔄
46'
N. Vassiljev ↔ A. Torres
Nõmme United
🔄
51'
S. Zenjov ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
57'
O. Pihela
Flora Tallinn
🔄
64'
K. Laanelaid ↔ Y. Morishige
Nõmme United
🔄
64'
K. Matas ↔ T. Evans
Nõmme United
🔄
67'
O. Pihela ↔ M. Jekimov
Flora Tallinn
⚽
67'
R. Valdmets · Assist: R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
⚽
70'
Z. Beglarishvili · Assist: T. Evans
Nõmme United
🔄
81'
I. Krasnov ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🔄
85'
A. Frolov ↔ K. Oostenbrink
Nõmme United
🔄
85'
D. Kuraksin ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🔄
85'
M. Kukkonen ↔ A. Jakovenko
Flora Tallinn
⚽
89'
T. Teevali · Assist: I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
⚽
90'
T. Usta · Assist: R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn

Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
78.1%
1.12 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.39 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.61 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 21.9%
Draw 24.8%
Flora Tallinn Win 53.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United1.67
Flora Tallinn1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
64 GF / 81 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
69 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.73
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
27
BTTS Yes
19
31
Over 2.5
29
0
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 34 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 40 matches
Nõmme United Statistic Flora Tallinn
13 Wins 21
2 Draws 3
19 Losses 16
64 Goals For 69
81 Goals Against 54
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
27 BTTS Yes 19
32 Over 1.5 32
31 Over 2.5 29
20 Over 3.5 16
1 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 1.33
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 2.17
0% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Nõmme United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Flora Tallinn. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Flora Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while Nõmme United sit 8 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Nõmme United Analysis

With 25 points from 25 games and a place of 8, Nõmme United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 1 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 42:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

With 45 points from 25 games and a place of 2, Flora Tallinn still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 0 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 49:32 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 1 times, Flora Tallinn won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:19 from Nõmme United's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.1%)
Predicted formations: Nõmme United 3-4-1-2 / Flora Tallinn -
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 1, draws 1, Flora Tallinn wins 6

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga