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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
11.10.2026 13:00
Allianz Riviera
Referee: Jeremie Pignard

Nice vs Strasbourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds 2.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
2.35 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.4%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nice Win 61.7%
Draw 4.8%
Strasbourg Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.73
Strasbourg1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nice Nice
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WLDWL
16 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.45
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.82
2
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
3
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nice Nice 10 matches
Strasbourg Strasbourg 11 matches
Nice Statistic Strasbourg
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 7
10 Goals For 16
8 Goals Against 31
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.82
2 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 4.8
12 Total Shots 11.6
5.8 Corners 1.8
56.8% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Strasbourg. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nice expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Strasbourg in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Strasbourg having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Nice Analysis

With 5 points from 5 games and a place of 14, Nice still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 3:6 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Wahi (1 goals), M. Amoura (1 goals), with creative support from G. Hein (1 assists), S. Diop (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Strasbourg Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Strasbourg have collected 7 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gessime Yassine (2 goals), S. Amo-Ameyaw (2 goals), Diogo Sousa (1 goals), with creative support from S. Nanasi (2 assists), Gessime Yassine (1 assists), Diogo Sousa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 5 times, Strasbourg won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Nice's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Nice 3-4-2-1 / Strasbourg 4-3-3
Missing players: Nice 3, Strasbourg 4
H2H summary: Nice wins 5, draws 4, Strasbourg wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14
Nice Home
5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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