Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
75.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Nice
Metz
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nice
48 matches
Metz
35 matches
| Nice | Statistic | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 4 |
| 12 | Draws | 7 |
| 25 | Losses | 24 |
| 52 | Goals For | 35 |
| 83 | Goals Against | 80 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.29 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 3.65 | Shots On Goal | 3.23 |
| 11.15 | Total Shots | 10.11 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nice expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Metz in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Metz having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Metz arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Metz. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Nice sit 16 with 31 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 37:60 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Sofiane Diop (8 goals), E. Wahi (5 goals), M. Cho (4 goals), with creative support from J. Clauss (6 assists), M. Cho (3 assists), Sofiane Diop (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Metz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 16 points from 33 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 32:76, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through G. Hein (8 goals), H. Diallo (4 goals), G. Tsitaishvili (3 goals), with creative support from G. Hein (7 assists), G. Tsitaishvili (2 assists), N. Mbala (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 6 times, Metz won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from Nice's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.
Nice
4
4
11
6
7
6
Lineups
Nice
Saint Etienne
Nice
Saint Etienne
Nice
Lens
Nice
Auxerre
Nice
Lens
Nice
Marseille
Nice
Strasbourg
Nice
Lille
Nice
Le Havre
Nice
Strasbourg
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
Angers
Nice
Rennes
Nice
Lorient
Nice
Paris FC
Nice
Lorient
Nice
Lyon
Nice
Monaco
Nice
Montpellier
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Monaco
Metz
Seraing United
Metz
Le Havre
Metz
Paris FC
Metz
Marseille
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Rennes
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Lens
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Auxerre
Metz
Lille
Metz
Angers
Metz
Lyon
Metz
Strasbourg
Metz
Montpellier
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Biesheim
Nice
Saint Etienne
Nice
Lens
Nice
Le Havre
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
Rennes
Nice
Lorient
Nice
Monaco
Nice
Montpellier
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
GO Ahead Eagles
Nice
Strasbourg
Nice
Saint Etienne
Nice
SC Braga
Nice
Angers
Nice
Marseille
Nice
SC Freiburg
Nice
Lille
Nice
Lyon
Nice
Paris FC
Nice
AS Roma
Metz
Seraing United
Metz
Le Havre
Metz
Marseille
Metz
Rennes
Metz
Lens
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Angers
Metz
Strasbourg
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Biesheim
Metz
Auxerre
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Lille
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Monaco
Metz
Paris FC
Metz
Lyon
Metz
Reims
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Nice
Home
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Metz
Away
|
34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|