Newport County vs Colchester Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Newport County
Colchester
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newport County
17 matches
Colchester
15 matches
| Newport County | Statistic | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 26 | Goals For | 23 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 10.44 | Total Shots | 12.63 |
| 4.11 | Corners | 4.13 |
| 37.8% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Colchester. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Newport County sit 15 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 12:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Gwengwe (4 goals), C. Doidge (2 goals), H. Biggins (1 goals), with creative support from C. Doidge (2 assists), H. Biggins (1 assists), C. Brennan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 10 points from 8 games and a place of 19, Colchester still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats with a 10:12 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Sesay (3 goals), H. Anderson (2 goals), K. Kouassi (1 goals), with creative support from O. Thorn (3 assists), M. Sesay (1 assists), E. Iandolo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Newport County won 5 times, Colchester won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Newport County's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Newport County
Home
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 |
Colchester
Away
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|