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MEXICO › LIGA MX
17.07.2026 01:00
Estadio Victoria
Referee: Yonatan Peinado Aguirre, Mexico
Necaxa
Match Timeline
Atlante FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
35'
Danny Leyva
Necaxa
🟨
42'
Raúl Martínez
Necaxa
⚽
48'
E. Pizzuto · Assist: L. Calzadilla
Atlante FC
🔄
54'
A. Oliveros ↔ F. Mendez
Necaxa
🔄
55'
C. Vargas ↔ E. Rodriguez
Necaxa
🔄
64'
A. Escobar ↔ W. Clar
Atlante FC
🔄
67'
J. P. Torres Patino ↔ R. Cortez
Necaxa
🟨
69'
Nicolas Carrera
Atlante FC
🔄
72'
L. Calzadilla ↔ L. Mejia
Atlante FC
🔄
72'
E. Pizzuto ↔ D. Gonzalez
Atlante FC
🔄
81'
L. Faravelli ↔ M. Pedroza
Necaxa
⚽
81'
J. Carranza
Necaxa
🔄
84'
L. Puente ↔ J. Charcopa
Atlante FC
🔄
84'
E. Tercero ↔ A. Padilla
Atlante FC
🟨
86'
Walter Portales
Atlante FC
VAR
90+7'
Miguel Pedroza
Necaxa
⚽
90'
M. Pedroza · Assist: J. Carranza
Necaxa

Necaxa vs Atlante FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 74.6%
Draw 11.5%
Atlante FC Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.98
Atlante FC1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa Necaxa
WWDLW
9 GF / 4 GA
Atlante FC Atlante FC
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Necaxa Necaxa 5 matches
Atlante FC Atlante FC 4 matches
Necaxa Statistic Atlante FC
3 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 1
9 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 9
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
2 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 1 times, Atlante FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Necaxa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-2-1 / Atlante FC 5-3-2
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 1, draws 0, Atlante FC wins 0

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)