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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
15.09.2026 13:00
FT
4 - 1
MTN Omondi Stadium
NEC
Match Timeline
URA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
I. Mugulusi · Assist: M. Ssenyonga
URA
⚽
14'
J. Jarieko · Assist: E. Ajo
NEC
⚽
42'
R. Basangwa · Assist: E. Lubwama
NEC
⚽
44'
E. Lubwama
NEC
⚽
49'
R. Basangwa
NEC

NEC vs URA Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48%
Odds 1.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48%
1.96 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.09 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.44 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 48%
Draw 16.5%
URA Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.4
URA0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC NEC
WWDLW
5 GF / 1 GA
URA URA
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC NEC 3 matches
URA URA 2 matches
NEC Statistic URA
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
5 Goals For 2
1 Goals Against 2
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, NEC won 2 times, URA won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from NEC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
H2H summary: NEC wins 2, draws 2, URA wins 1

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 11:3 8 12
W W W W
2
NEC Home
5 3 2 0 9:2 7 11
D W D W W
3 5 3 2 0 8:2 6 11
D W W W D
4 5 3 0 2 5:7 -2 9
L L W W W
5 4 2 1 1 3:1 2 7
W D L W
6 4 2 1 1 3:2 1 7
D L W W
7 3 2 0 1 7:1 6 6
W W L
8 5 2 0 3 8:6 2 6
W L L W L
9 5 2 0 3 4:9 -5 6
L L W L W
10 3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
W D D
11 4 1 2 1 2:2 0 5
W D L D
12 5 1 2 2 3:4 -1 5
D D L W L
13 4 1 1 2 1:4 -3 4
W D L L
14
URA Away
3 1 0 2 3:6 -3 3
L L W
15 5 1 0 4 3:11 -8 3
W L L L L
16 4 0 2 2 0:2 -2 2
L D D L
17 4 0 2 2 2:6 -4 2
D L L D
18 4 0 1 3 1:6 -5 1
L L D L