Login Register
BRAZIL › SERIE B
26.09.2026 19:30
Estádio dos Aflitos
Referee: Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil
Nautico Recife
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Wenderson
Nautico Recife
⚽
45'
Vinicius · Assist: Jean Carlos
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Arnaldo ↔ Reginaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Augusto ↔ Claudinho
Sport Recife
🔄
46'
Fernando Sobral ↔ Juan Alano
Sport Recife
⚽
48'
Jean Carlos · Assist: Derek
Nautico Recife
🔄
58'
Ryan Carlos ↔ Gustavo Henrique
Nautico Recife
🔄
58'
Derek ↔ B. Borasi
Nautico Recife
🔄
61'
Diego Hernandez ↔ Patrick de Paula
Sport Recife
🔄
67'
Junior Todinho ↔ Paulo Sergio
Nautico Recife
🔄
71'
Marlon Douglas ↔ K. Andrade
Sport Recife
🔄
71'
Pedro Perotti ↔ Neto Pessoa
Sport Recife
⚽
73'
Gustavo Henrique
Nautico Recife
🔄
74'
Jean Carlos ↔ Kauan Maranhao
Nautico Recife
🟨
83'
Rai Lopes
Sport Recife
⚽
90'
Neto Pessoa · Assist: Willian Oliveira
Sport Recife

Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.5%
2.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.07 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nautico Recife Win 64.5%
Draw 5.6%
Sport Recife Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nautico Recife1.13
Sport Recife1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WWDLW
35 GF / 36 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
39 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
14
4.66
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 29 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 29 matches
Nautico Recife Statistic Sport Recife
10 Wins 11
8 Draws 11
11 Losses 7
35 Goals For 39
36 Goals Against 29
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 4
4.66 Shots On Goal 4.21
16.28 Total Shots 13.9
5.9 Corners 4.79
58% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Recife. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sport Recife arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Nautico Recife Analysis

With 38 points from 28 games and a place of 14, Nautico Recife still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 35:33 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vinícius (5 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), Júnior Todinho (3 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Sport Recife Analysis

With 41 points from 28 games and a place of 10, Sport Recife still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats with a 37:28 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Chrystian Barletta (7 goals), Perotti (7 goals), Madson (2 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel (3 assists), Madson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 3 times, Sport Recife won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1 / Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nautico Recife wins 3, draws 5, Sport Recife wins 7

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 31 17 6 8 44:31 13 57
W W W D W
3 31 15 9 7 52:27 25 54
W D L D W
4 31 15 8 8 33:27 6 53
W W L L L
5 31 14 11 6 36:27 9 53
D D W D W
6 31 14 10 7 39:27 12 52
W W L W W
7 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
8 31 14 6 11 46:44 2 48
L W L W L
9 31 13 9 9 43:41 2 48
L D W D W
10 31 11 13 7 32:25 7 46
W L W D W
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 31 11 9 11 39:38 1 42
D W L D L
14 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
15 31 10 9 12 34:39 -5 39
W D W D L
16 31 9 8 14 34:37 -3 35
L W D L L
17 31 8 6 17 30:42 -12 30
L L L D L
18 31 7 7 17 39:45 -6 28
L L L W W
19 31 4 5 22 21:52 -31 17
L L L L W
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation