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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Nagoya Grampus
FT
2 - 1
Gamba Osaka
Toyota Stadium
Referee: K. Takasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
S. Inagaki · Assist: K. Nakayama
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
12'
Shuto Abe
Gamba Osaka
🔄
17'
S. Abe ↔ T. Yamamoto
Gamba Osaka
⚽
31'
Y. Kimura · Assist: T. Hara
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
62'
T. Usami ↔ R. Meshino
Gamba Osaka
🔄
62'
K. Okunuki ↔ S. Nakano
Gamba Osaka
🔄
62'
H. Minamino ↔ D. Hummet
Gamba Osaka
🔄
66'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ K. Nagai
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
66'
R. Izumi ↔ T. Uchida
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
74'
Y. Asano ↔ H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
80'
Ryotaro Meshino
Gamba Osaka
🔄
81'
R. Yamashita ↔ J. Nakamura
Gamba Osaka
🔄
85'
T. Takamine ↔ M. Ono
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
85'
S. Tokumoto ↔ Y. Nogami
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
90'
R. Mito
Gamba Osaka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 55.2%
Draw 11%
Gamba Osaka Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.47
Gamba Osaka1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
31 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
9
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
10
4.57
Shots on Goal
5.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 14 matches
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 18 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Gamba Osaka
6 Wins 6
5 Draws 9
3 Losses 3
23 Goals For 31
17 Goals Against 22
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
9 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
4.57 Shots On Goal 5.73
13.57 Total Shots 13.53
5.36 Corners 4.53
52.9% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, Gamba Osaka won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 5, draws 3, Gamba Osaka wins 7
Stats
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 4
8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
351 Total passes 530
281 Passes accurate 442
1.50 expected_goals 1.07
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus
Formation
Gamba Osaka
D. Schmidt
D. Schmidt
T. Hara
🎯
T. Hara
H. Fujii
H. Fujii
S. Tokumoto
↓
S. Tokumoto
Y. Asano
↓
Y. Asano
S. Inagaki
⚽
S. Inagaki
T. Takamine
↓
T. Takamine
K. Nakayama
🎯
K. Nakayama
R. Izumi
↓
R. Izumi
Y. Kimura
⚽
Y. Kimura
Y. Yamagishi
↓
Y. Yamagishi
R. Araki
R. Araki
G. Ikegaya
G. Ikegaya
G. Miura
G. Miura
S. Nakatani
S. Nakatani
R. Hatsuse
R. Hatsuse
S. Abe
↓
S. Abe
R. Mito
⚽
R. Mito
R. Yamashita
↓
R. Yamashita
T. Usami
↓
T. Usami
K. Okunuki
↓
K. Okunuki
H. Minamino
↓
H. Minamino
Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
D. Schmidt
G
70
T. Hara
🎯 31'
D
13
H. Fujii
D
55
S. Tokumoto
↓ 85'
D
9
Y. Asano
↓ 74'
M
15
S. Inagaki
⚽ 8'
M
31
T. Takamine
↓ 85'
M
27
K. Nakayama
🎯 8'
M
7
R. Izumi
↓ 66'
F
22
Y. Kimura
⚽ 31'
F
11
Y. Yamagishi
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
35
A. Pisano
G
18
K. Nagai
↑ 66'
F
17
T. Uchida
↑ 66'
M
41
M. Ono
↑ 85'
M
2
Y. Nogami
↑ 85'
D
20
K. Mikuni
D
33
T. Kikuchi
M
19
H. Koda
↑ 74'
M
30
S. Sugiura
F
Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
R. Araki
G
19
G. Ikegaya
D
5
G. Miura
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
21
R. Hatsuse
D
13
S. Abe
↓ 17' 🟨 12'
M
27
R. Mito
⚽ 90'
M
17
R. Yamashita
↓ 81'
M
7
T. Usami
↓ 62'
M
44
K. Okunuki
↓ 62'
M
42
H. Minamino
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Higashiguchi
G
16
T. Suzuki
M
15
T. Kishimoto
D
8
R. Meshino
↑ 62' 🟨 80'
F
47
S. Nakano
↑ 62'
D
11
I. Jebali
F
23
D. Hummet
↑ 62'
F
41
J. Nakamura
↑ 81'
M
36
T. Yamamoto
↑ 17'
M
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
06.06.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
4
L
17.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1
6
L
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
2
3
L
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
5
1
W
01.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
21.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
1
3
L
15.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
08.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
W
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
25.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
4
1
W
H2H: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
06.05.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
15.02.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2
0
L
23.10.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
3
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
02.04.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
L
20.11.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
3
W
22.04.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
23.09.20
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
L
08.07.20
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
20.07.19
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
1
3
L
08.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nagoya Grampus
06.05.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
22.04.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
08.07.20
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
20.07.19
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
H2H away: Gamba Osaka
06.05.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
1
0
L
27.08.22
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
W
22.04.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
0
L
08.07.20
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
20.07.19
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Vissel Kobe
18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2
Cerezo Osaka
18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3
Nagoya Grampus Home
18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5
Gamba Osaka Away
18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6
Fagiano Okayama
18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7
Shimizu S-pulse
18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8
Kyoto Sanga
18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9
V-varen Nagasaki
18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10
Avispa Fukuoka
18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)