Login Register
HUNGARY › NB I
18.04.2026 15:00
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium
Referee: P. Zierkelbach
MTK Budapest
Match Timeline
Kisvarda FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
I. Atrok · Assist: A. Molnar
MTK Budapest
🟨
37'
Mihály Kata
MTK Budapest
🔄
46'
T. Yordanov ↔ S. Novothny
Kisvarda FC
🔄
63'
R. Popoola ↔ L. Szor
Kisvarda FC
🔄
64'
I. Atrok ↔ K. Nemeth
MTK Budapest
🔄
64'
Z. Kerezsi ↔ G. Jurek
MTK Budapest
🟨
66'
Martin Chlumecký
Kisvarda FC
🔄
69'
M. Chlumecky ↔ A. Jovicic
Kisvarda FC
🔄
69'
H. Szikszai ↔ T. A. Balogun
Kisvarda FC
🔄
71'
H. Nemeth ↔ J. Plsek
MTK Budapest
🔄
76'
A. Molnar ↔ V. Vitalyos
MTK Budapest
🔄
76'
B. Biro ↔ G. Molnar
Kisvarda FC
⚽
89'
K. Nemeth · Assist: J. Plsek
MTK Budapest
⚽
90'
A. Jovicic · Assist: L. Szor
Kisvarda FC

MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
MTK Budapest Win 63.7%
Draw 0%
Kisvarda FC Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
MTK Budapest1.61
Kisvarda FC1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
WWDLW
50 GF / 58 GA
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC
WLDWL
33 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.14
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
19
BTTS Yes
13
21
Over 2.5
13
3.86
Shots on Goal
2.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 29 matches
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 29 matches
MTK Budapest Statistic Kisvarda FC
8 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 11
50 Goals For 33
58 Goals Against 42
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
19 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 18
21 Over 2.5 13
17 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 9
3.86 Shots On Goal 2.28
9.83 Total Shots 8.03
3.31 Corners 3.24
38.9% Ball Possession 38.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kisvarda FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

MTK Budapest Analysis

From their first 29 matches, MTK Budapest have collected 32 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 50:58 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Molnar (9 goals), I. Atrok (5 goals), R. Molnar (5 goals), with creative support from I. Bognar (7 assists), Patrik Kovács (4 assists), K. Nemeth (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kisvarda FC Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Kisvarda FC have collected 40 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 33:42 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Biro (7 goals), B. Cipetic (4 goals), T. Yordanov (4 goals), with creative support from Jasmin Mešanović (5 assists), B. Melnyk (3 assists), B. Biro (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MTK Budapest won 5 times, Kisvarda FC won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from MTK Budapest's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1 / Kisvarda FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: MTK Budapest wins 5, draws 3, Kisvarda FC wins 7

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 65:30 35 69
W W D W W
2 33 21 5 7 67:31 36 68
W W W L W
3 33 15 8 10 63:46 17 53
W W L W L
4 33 14 11 8 51:41 10 53
W L D W D
5 33 13 9 11 49:43 6 48
L L L W L
6 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
D W W L L
7 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
L L L W W
8 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
L L L L D
9 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
D D W L W
10 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
D D D W W
11 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
L L W L L
12 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22
D W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - NB II.