BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Moto Club
Match Timeline
IAPE
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
William
Moto Club
27'
Richarles
IAPE
45'
Vinicius Almeida
IAPE
89'
Cleitinho
Moto Club
🟥
90+4'
Kaio Henrique
IAPE

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Moto Club Win 88.3%
Draw 0%
IAPE Win 11.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moto Club1.3
IAPE1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moto Club Moto Club
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
IAPE IAPE
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moto Club Moto Club 6 matches
IAPE IAPE 6 matches
Moto Club Statistic IAPE
2 Wins 0
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
5 Goals For 6
6 Goals Against 12
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IAPE. IAPE arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IAPE having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Moto Club arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 8 points compared to IAPE in 6 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Moto Club Analysis

Placed 4 with 8 points from 6 outings, Moto Club continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 5:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jojo (3 goals), Bacurau (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

IAPE Analysis

With 2 points from 6 games and a place of 6, IAPE still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustavo Cutrim (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Moto Club won 5 times, IAPE won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Moto Club's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Moto Club wins 5, draws 1, IAPE wins 4
Last matches: Moto Club
07.06.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
1
1
D
Last matches: IAPE
07.06.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H: Moto Club vs IAPE
16.05.26
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
2
2
D
25.04.26
H2H
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
W
11.02.26
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
0
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
IAPE
Moto Club
2
1
L
25.01.26
H2H
IAPE
Moto Club
0
1
W
09.04.25
H2H
IAPE
Moto Club
2
0
L
25.02.25
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
1
0
W
25.02.23
H2H
IAPE
Moto Club
0
3
W
02.04.22
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
0
1
L
02.03.21
H2H
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
W
Last matches: Moto Club
30.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
1
2
L
06.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
1
1
D
H2H at home: Moto Club
16.05.26
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
2
2
D
11.02.26
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
0
2
L
25.02.25
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
1
0
W
02.04.22
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
0
1
L
Last matches: IAPE
07.06.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
H2H away: IAPE
16.05.26
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
2
2
D
11.02.26
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
0
2
W
25.02.25
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
1
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Moto Club
IAPE
0
1
W

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6
IAPE Away
10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)