BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ogosta Stadium
Referee: N. Popov
Montana
Match Timeline
Spartak Varna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
G. Stojanovski · Assist: Xande
Spartak Varna
🟥
31'
Umaro Baldé
Montana
🟨
37'
Georg Stojanovski
Spartak Varna
🔄
41'
R. Slavchev ↔ A. Todorov
Montana
🔄
44'
M. Juric-Petrasilo ↔ M. Georgiev
Spartak Varna
🔄
46'
P. Atanasov ↔ T. Azevedo
Montana
49'
T. Chunchukov · Assist: Xande
Spartak Varna
🔄
59'
I. Kokonov ↔ A. Tsingaras
Montana
🔄
59'
V. Tsekov Dimitrov ↔ B. Dimitrov
Montana
🟨
71'
Tsvetelin Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
🟨
77'
Damian Yordanov
Spartak Varna
🔄
80'
Xande ↔ E. John
Spartak Varna
🔄
80'
Jota Lopes ↔ Tailson
Spartak Varna
🔄
87'
D. Yordanov ↔ S. Moukachar
Spartak Varna
🔄
87'
T. Chunchukov ↔ D. Ivanov
Spartak Varna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 20%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
20%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Montana Win 44.8%
Draw 0%
Spartak Varna Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montana1.01
Spartak Varna1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montana Montana
WWDLW
21 GF / 51 GA
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WLDWL
30 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
14
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
17
2.03
Shots on Goal
1.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Montana Montana 35 matches
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 35 matches
Montana Statistic Spartak Varna
4 Wins 6
11 Draws 13
20 Losses 16
21 Goals For 30
51 Goals Against 57
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
14 BTTS Yes 20
19 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 8
17 Failed To Score 12
2.03 Shots On Goal 1.76
6.72 Total Shots 5.91
3.16 Corners 2.24
35% Ball Possession 27.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Spartak Varna. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Montana expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Spartak Varna in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spartak Varna having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Spartak Varna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Montana Analysis

Montana approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 23 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 11 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 21:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dimitrov (9 goals), P. Ejike (5 goals), I. Kokonov (2 goals), with creative support from B. Dimitrov (2 assists), Solomon James (2 assists), I. Kokonov (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Spartak Varna Analysis

Spartak Varna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 31 points from 35 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 16 defeats with a 30:57 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Berna (6 goals), Xande (5 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), with creative support from Xande (3 assists), G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Angel Granchov (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Montana won 0 times, Spartak Varna won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from Montana's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Montana 3-4-3 / Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Montana wins 0, draws 2, Spartak Varna wins 6

Lineups

Montana
Formation
Spartak Varna
V. Simeonov
V. Simeonov
J. Soares
J. Soares
I. Markov
I. Markov
C. Acheampong
C. Acheampong
V. Tsekov Dimitrov
V. Tsekov Dimitrov
A. Tungarov
A. Tungarov
P. Atanasov
P. Atanasov
D. Burov
D. Burov
U. Balde
U. Balde
R. Slavchev
R. Slavchev
I. Kokonov
I. Kokonov
P. Ribeiro
P. Ribeiro
D. Lozev
D. Lozev
M. Juric-Petrasilo
M. Juric-Petrasilo
D. Krastev
D. Krastev
B. Ivanov
B. Ivanov
T. Marinov
T. Marinov
Jota Lopes
Jota Lopes
G. Stojanovski
G. Stojanovski
D. Yordanov
D. Yordanov
Xande
🎯
Xande
T. Chunchukov
T. Chunchukov
Montana 3-4-3
Starting XI
30
V. Simeonov
G
13
J. Soares
D
5
I. Markov
15
C. Acheampong
D
19
V. Tsekov Dimitrov
↓ 59'
F
23
A. Tungarov
M
8
P. Atanasov
↓ 46'
M
14
D. Burov
D
20
U. Balde
🟥 31'
F
26
R. Slavchev
↓ 41'
F
17
I. Kokonov
↓ 59'
M
Substitutes
12
N. Krastev
10
A. Todorov
↑ 41'
M
24
A. Tsingaras
↑ 59'
M
7
B. Dimitrov
↑ 59'
F
16
D. Carmona Sierra
22
Beji
21
P. Andreev
M
27
T. Azevedo
↑ 46'
M
11
Vitinho
M
Spartak Varna 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
P. Ribeiro
G
20
D. Lozev
D
3
M. Juric-Petrasilo
↓ 44'
5
D. Krastev
D
2
B. Ivanov
D
17
T. Marinov
M
10
Jota Lopes
↓ 80'
M
90
G. Stojanovski
⚽ 25' 🟨 37'
F
88
D. Yordanov
↓ 87' 🟨 77'
M
21
Xande
🎯 25' 🎯 49' ↓ 80'
9
T. Chunchukov
⚽ 49' ↓ 87' 🟨 71'
F
Substitutes
23
M. Kovalyov
G
6
E. John
↑ 80'
M
7
P. Prindzhev
F
18
S. Moukachar
↑ 87'
M
29
Tailson
↑ 80'
M
39
K. Kurbanov
M
50
M. Georgiev
↑ 44'
8
D. Ivanov
↑ 87'
M
Last matches: Montana
22.05.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
14.05.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
09.05.26
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
05.05.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
16.04.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Montana
Leningradets
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
Montana
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Montana
Llapi
2
2
D
Last matches: Spartak Varna
27.06.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
0
0
D
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
H2H: Montana vs Spartak Varna
18.05.26
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
03.03.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
L
19.09.25
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
L
09.10.23
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
21.05.22
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
1
L
11.04.20
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
21.09.19
H2H
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
L
Last matches: Montana
09.05.26
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
27.04.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
16.04.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
27.02.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Montana
Leningradets
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
Montana
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Montana
Llapi
2
2
D
02.12.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
23.11.25
Fir
Montana
Levski Sofia
1
5
L
24.10.25
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
04.10.25
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
1
3
L
19.09.25
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
29.08.25
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
23.08.25
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
08.08.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.07.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
H2H at home: Montana
18.05.26
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
19.09.25
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
09.10.23
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
21.05.22
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
11.04.20
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
Last matches: Spartak Varna
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Fratria
1
0
W
04.12.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
0
2
L
21.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
01.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
0
2
L
18.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
1
D
04.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
19.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
1
W
22.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
10.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
26.07.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
H2H away: Spartak Varna
18.05.26
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
W
19.09.25
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
2
W
09.10.23
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
21.05.22
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
11.04.20
H2H
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
0
D

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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