BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ogosta Stadium
Referee: S. Trenchev
Montana
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
D. Yankov ↔ D. Acka
Lokomotiv Sofia
14'
U. Balde · Assist: D. Burov
Montana
23'
I. Kokonov · Assist: B. Dimitrov
Montana
🟨
26'
Ivan Kokonov
Montana
🔄
46'
E. Dost ↔ J. Ibe
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
61'
↔ Caue Caruzo
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
61'
R. Daskalov ↔ E. Gerov
Lokomotiv Sofia
63'
A. Taoui
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
74'
A. Todorov ↔ Beji
Montana
🔄
74'
I. Kokonov ↔ A. Tungarov
Montana
🔄
79'
B. Dimitrov ↔ P. Ejike
Montana
86'
G. Minchev · Assist: S. Delev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
90+4'
Umaro Baldé
Montana
🟨
90'
Ivaylo Markov
Montana

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Montana Win 20.8%
Draw 18.4%
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 60.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montana0.86
Lokomotiv Sofia1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montana Montana
WWDLW
19 GF / 48 GA
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WLDWL
46 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.58
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
13
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
17
2.17
Shots on Goal
3.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Montana Montana 33 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 33 matches
Montana Statistic Lokomotiv Sofia
4 Wins 10
10 Draws 12
19 Losses 11
19 Goals For 46
48 Goals Against 42
0.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
13 BTTS Yes 19
18 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 8
16 Failed To Score 9
2.17 Shots On Goal 3.16
7.1 Total Shots 7.71
3.2 Corners 3.48
35.9% Ball Possession 35.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lokomotiv Sofia's more proactive style and Montana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lokomotiv Sofia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Montana expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Lokomotiv Sofia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lokomotiv Sofia having the stronger overall control. Lokomotiv Sofia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 42 points while Montana sit 16 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Montana Analysis

Montana approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 22 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats with a 19:48 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Dimitrov (9 goals), P. Ejike (5 goals), Aleksandar Todorov (1 goals), with creative support from Solomon James (2 assists), B. Dimitrov (1 assists), I. Kokonov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lokomotiv Sofia Analysis

Lokomotiv Sofia are currently 10 in the standings with 42 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses, while the 46:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Delev (8 goals), Caue Caruzo (7 goals), A. Aralica (6 goals), with creative support from S. Delev (12 assists), Caue Caruzo (4 assists), Krasimir Stanoev (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Montana won 4 times, Lokomotiv Sofia won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Montana's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Montana 3-4-3 / Lokomotiv Sofia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Montana wins 4, draws 1, Lokomotiv Sofia wins 4

Lineups

Montana
Formation
Lokomotiv Sofia
M. Rosa
M. Rosa
J. Soares
J. Soares
I. Markov
I. Markov
K. Iliev
K. Iliev
D. Carmona Sierra
D. Carmona Sierra
I. Kokonov
I. Kokonov
A. Tsingaras
A. Tsingaras
D. Burov
🎯
D. Burov
U. Balde
U. Balde
B. Dimitrov
🎯
B. Dimitrov
A. Todorov
A. Todorov
A. Lyubenov
A. Lyubenov
R. Daskalov
R. Daskalov
B. Katsarov
B. Katsarov
R. Bidounga
R. Bidounga
A. Lyaskov
A. Lyaskov
K. Stanoev
K. Stanoev
E. Dost
E. Dost
A. Taoui
A. Taoui
D. Yankov
D. Yankov
S. Delev
🎯
S. Delev
G. Minchev
G. Minchev
Montana 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
M. Rosa
G
13
J. Soares
D
5
I. Markov
18
K. Iliev
16
D. Carmona Sierra
17
I. Kokonov
⚽ 23' ↓ 74' 🟨 26'
M
24
A. Tsingaras
M
14
D. Burov
🎯 14'
D
20
U. Balde
⚽ 14' 🟨 90+4'
F
7
B. Dimitrov
🎯 23' ↓ 79'
F
10
A. Todorov
↓ 74'
M
Substitutes
9
P. Ejike
↑ 79'
F
22
Beji
↑ 74'
30
V. Simeonov
G
15
C. Acheampong
D
19
V. Tsekov Dimitrov
F
11
Vitinho
M
26
R. Slavchev
F
23
A. Tungarov
↑ 74'
M
8
P. Atanasov
M
Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
A. Lyubenov
G
22
R. Daskalov
↓ 61'
D
44
B. Katsarov
D
91
R. Bidounga
D
14
A. Lyaskov
D
31
K. Stanoev
M
5
E. Dost
↓ 46'
M
11
A. Taoui
⚽ 63'
M
64
D. Yankov
↓ 5'
M
7
S. Delev
🎯 86'
M
10
G. Minchev
⚽ 86'
F
Substitutes
42
N. Neychev
D
77
Caue Caruzo
↑ 61'
4
S. Dembele
33
J. Ibe
↑ 46'
M
99
M. Velichkov
G
26
K. Miloshev
M
2
D. Ali
D
28
D. Acka
↑ 5'
M
45
E. Gerov
↑ 61'
F
Last matches: Montana
22.05.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
18.05.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
14.05.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
05.05.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
16.04.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Montana
Leningradets
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
Montana
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Montana
Llapi
2
2
D
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
26.06.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Drita
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
05.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
27.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
3
L
09.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
3
L
17.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
08.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Sportist Svoge
1
0
W
H2H: Montana vs Lokomotiv Sofia
09.05.26
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
02.12.25
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
03.08.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
3
0
L
13.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
1
0
L
23.03.20
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
31.08.19
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
0
1
W
08.12.18
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
0
1
W
06.08.18
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
05.03.18
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
4
0
W
12.08.17
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
1
0
L
Last matches: Montana
18.05.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
27.04.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
16.04.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
27.02.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Montana
Leningradets
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
Montana
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Montana
Llapi
2
2
D
02.12.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
23.11.25
Fir
Montana
Levski Sofia
1
5
L
24.10.25
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
04.10.25
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
1
3
L
19.09.25
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
29.08.25
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
23.08.25
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
08.08.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.07.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
H2H at home: Montana
09.05.26
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
02.12.25
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
23.03.20
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
06.08.18
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
05.03.18
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
4
0
W
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
22.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
3
L
01.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
3
L
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lechia Gdansk
1
2
L
02.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
2
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna
1
0
W
03.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
3
1
W
03.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
20.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
29.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
17.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
10.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
27.07.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
H2H away: Lokomotiv Sofia
09.05.26
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
02.12.25
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
W
23.03.20
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
06.08.18
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
L
05.03.18
H2H
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
4
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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