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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
12.09.2026 14:00
Riverside Stadium
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Norwich
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
M. Toure
Norwich
⚽
4'
S. Berhalter · Assist: T. Conway
Middlesbrough
⚽
7'
A. Cozier-Duberry · Assist: T. Conway
Middlesbrough
⚽
36'
S. Berhalter
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
A. Jones ↔ A. Phillips
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
A. Slimane ↔ J. Wright
Norwich
🟨
53'
Riley McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
62'
K. Fisher ↔ J. Stacey
Norwich
🔄
62'
M. Toure ↔ J. Makama
Norwich
🔄
63'
T. Conway ↔ M. Peart-Harris
Middlesbrough
🔄
63'
R. McGree ↔ K. Joseph
Middlesbrough
⚽
70'
J. Makama · Assist: J. Wright
Norwich
🔄
73'
A. Cozier-Duberry ↔ M. Arfsten
Middlesbrough
🔄
74'
A. Brooks ↔ P. Maghoma
Norwich
⚽
75'
J. Wright · Assist: P. Maghoma
Norwich
🟨
89'
Ashley Phillips
Middlesbrough
🟨
90'
Jack Stacey
Norwich
🔄
90+2'
W. Lankshear ↔ L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🔄
90'
A. Musaba ↔ O. Schwartau
Norwich
⚽
90'
A. Phillips
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.89
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.6%
1.89 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 53.6%
Draw 14.4%
Norwich Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.32
Norwich1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Norwich Norwich
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
7
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
7
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 matches
Norwich Norwich 13 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Norwich
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
13 Goals For 18
12 Goals Against 11
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
7 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 5
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.83
17.2 Total Shots 16.17
5.2 Corners 4.83
59.8% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 6 times, Norwich won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1 / Norwich 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Middlesbrough 1, Norwich 3
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 6, draws 3, Norwich wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One