ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Riverside Stadium
Referee: R. Madley
Middlesbrough
Match Timeline
Lincoln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
A. Reach · Assist: T. Darikwa
Lincoln
🟨
36'
Freddie Draper
Lincoln
🔄
59'
F. Draper ↔ T. Olaofe
Lincoln
🔄
59'
D. Jefferies ↔ R. Street
Lincoln
62'
W. Lankshear
Middlesbrough
🔄
63'
L. Castledine ↔ M. Peart-Harris
Middlesbrough
🔄
63'
A. Kante ↔ R. McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
63'
Neto Borges ↔ M. Arfsten
Middlesbrough
🔄
71'
K. Joseph ↔ J. Sarmiento
Middlesbrough
🔄
71'
B. House ↔ R. Hackett-Fairchild
Lincoln
🟨
89'
Isaac Olaofe
Lincoln
🔄
90+2'
M. Whittaker ↔ A. Jones
Middlesbrough
🔄
90+2'
T. Darikwa ↔ A. Coubis
Lincoln
🔄
90+2'
A. Reach ↔ T. Bayliss
Lincoln
90'
W. Lankshear · Assist: R. McGree
Middlesbrough

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
1.34
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.4%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 58.8%
Draw 15.8%
Lincoln Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1.8
Lincoln1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WWDLW
5 GF / 7 GA
Lincoln Lincoln
WLDWL
4 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.67
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3 matches
Lincoln Lincoln 6 matches
Middlesbrough Statistic Lincoln
0 Wins 2
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 4
5 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 12
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2 / Lincoln -
Missing players: Middlesbrough 4, Lincoln 3
Stats
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Lincoln Lincoln
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 4
76% Ball Possession 24%
23 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
629 Total passes 185
555 Passes accurate 106
2.23 expected_goals 0.57
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Middlesbrough
Formation
Lincoln
R. Vitek
R. Vitek
C. Brittain
C. Brittain
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
A. Malanda
A. Malanda
Neto Borges
Neto Borges
A. Kante
A. Kante
S. Berhalter
S. Berhalter
M. Whittaker
M. Whittaker
L. Castledine
L. Castledine
W. Lankshear
⚽ 2
W. Lankshear
K. Joseph
K. Joseph
G. Wickens
G. Wickens
T. Darikwa
🎯
T. Darikwa
T. Hamer
T. Hamer
D. Elerewe
D. Elerewe
R. Towler
R. Towler
A. Reach
A. Reach
D. Jefferies
D. Jefferies
I. Varfolomeev
I. Varfolomeev
C. McGrandles
C. McGrandles
F. Draper
F. Draper
B. House
B. House
Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
1
R. Vitek
G
2
C. Brittain
D
12
L. Ayling
D
29
A. Malanda
D
30
Neto Borges
↓ 63'
D
42
A. Kante
↓ 63'
M
6
S. Berhalter
M
11
M. Whittaker
↓ 90+2'
M
19
L. Castledine
↓ 63'
M
7
W. Lankshear
⚽ 62' ⚽ 90'
F
22
K. Joseph
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
31
S. Brynn
G
25
G. Edmundson
D
5
A. Jones
↑ 90+2'
D
14
M. Peart-Harris
↑ 63'
M
46
F. Cartwright
M
44
C. Ibeh
M
8
R. McGree
🎯 90' ↑ 63'
M
16
J. Sarmiento
↑ 71'
F
17
M. Arfsten
↑ 63'
D
Lincoln 5-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Wickens
G
2
T. Darikwa
🎯 12' ↓ 90+2'
D
22
T. Hamer
D
25
D. Elerewe
D
6
R. Towler
D
3
A. Reach
⚽ 12' ↓ 90+2'
D
16
D. Jefferies
↓ 59'
M
24
I. Varfolomeev
M
14
C. McGrandles
M
34
F. Draper
↓ 59' 🟨 36'
F
18
B. House
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
46
J. Gauci
G
20
C. Elder
D
4
A. Coubis
↑ 90+2'
D
23
J. Honohan
D
8
T. Bayliss
↑ 90+2'
M
7
R. Hackett-Fairchild
↑ 71'
M
19
T. Olaofe
↑ 59' 🟨 89'
F
17
R. Street
↑ 59'
F
10
M. Melia
F
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
Last matches: Lincoln
01.08.26
Fri
Lincoln
Barnsley
0
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Lincoln
Doncaster
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Grimsby
1
5
L
17.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Boston United
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Lincoln United
1
2
L
02.05.26
Lea
Lincoln
Port Vale
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Wycombe
4
3
W
21.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Doncaster
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Stevenage
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Reading
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Rotherham
3
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Huddersfield
2
2
D
14.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Stockport County
3
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Exeter City
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Cardiff
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Blackpool
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Mansfield Town
2
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
08.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
Last matches: Lincoln
01.08.26
Fri
Lincoln
Barnsley
0
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Lincoln
Doncaster
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Grimsby
1
5
L
11.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Boston United
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Lincoln United
1
2
L
02.05.26
Lea
Lincoln
Port Vale
2
0
W
21.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Doncaster
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Stevenage
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Reading
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Huddersfield
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Exeter City
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Cardiff
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Mansfield Town
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Plymouth
4
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Lincoln
Wigan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Lincoln
Luton
2
2
D
29.12.25
Lea
Lincoln
Barnsley
2
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Lincoln
Stockport County
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Lincoln
Blackpool
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Lincoln
Wycombe
2
3
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.13
Draw 4.95
Home 1.34
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.38
Draw 2.70
Home 1.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.12
Over 3.25 2.40
Over 3.5 2.66
Over 4.5 4.96
Under 1.5 4.38
Under 2.25 2.65
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.75
Under 3.25 1.59
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 4.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 5.50
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.60
Home 1.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.88
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.80
Draw 4.95
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.60
Draw 2.45
Home 1.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.20
Draw 3.02
Home 1.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.23
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.01
Over 3.25 2.25
Over 3.5 2.48
Over 3.75 2.92
Over 4.0 3.72
Over 4.25 4.04
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 4.75 5.35
Over 5.0 7.30
Over 5.5 7.80
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 1.0 9.00
Under 1.25 5.46
Under 1.5 4.05
Under 1.75 3.62
Under 2.0 3.30
Under 2.25 2.59
Under 2.5 2.18
Under 2.75 1.95
Under 3.0 1.69
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.31
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 5.20
Home 1.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.55
Home 1.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.15
Home 1.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 2.75 1.77
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.00
Over 4.5 4.60
Over 5.5 8.50
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.25 2.65
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.75
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 3.75 1.36
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.04

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
15 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
16 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
17 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 -4
L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One

Missing Players

Middlesbrough 4 missing
-
A. Bangura
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
H. Hunt
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Morris
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. Conway
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Lincoln 3 missing
-
A. Jackson
Questionable Surgery
OUT
-
J. Collins
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Honohan
Questionable Injury
OUT