FRANCE LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds 1.75
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
1.75
BTTS Yes
75%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.7%
1.28
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 72%
Draw 5.9%
Strasbourg Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille2.3
Strasbourg1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WLDWL
6 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
3.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 4 matches
Strasbourg Strasbourg 6 matches
Marseille Statistic Strasbourg
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 5
6 Goals For 6
7 Goals Against 21
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 3.5
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 6 times, Strasbourg won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Marseille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Missing players: Marseille 3, Strasbourg 2
H2H summary: Marseille wins 6, draws 7, Strasbourg wins 1
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Last matches: Strasbourg
16.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Newcastle
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
SC Freiburg
0
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
SV Elversberg
2
5
L
01.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Brighton
3
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Blackburn
0
2
L
20.07.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Sporting CP
0
7
L
17.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Monaco
5
4
W
13.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Angers
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lorient
3
2
W
22.04.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Nice
0
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
3
L
16.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nice
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nantes
3
2
W
19.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
H2H: Marseille vs Strasbourg
14.02.26
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
26.09.25
H2H
Strasbourg
Marseille
1
2
W
19.01.25
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
29.09.24
H2H
Strasbourg
Marseille
1
0
L
12.01.24
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Strasbourg
Marseille
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
29.10.22
H2H
Strasbourg
Marseille
2
2
D
21.05.22
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
12.12.21
H2H
Strasbourg
Marseille
0
2
W
30.04.21
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
06.11.20
H2H
Strasbourg
Marseille
0
1
W
02.05.20
H2H
Strasbourg
Marseille
0
0
D
29.01.20
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
3
1
W
20.10.19
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
H2H at home: Marseille
14.02.26
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
19.01.25
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
12.01.24
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
21.05.22
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
30.04.21
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
29.01.20
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
3
1
W
20.10.19
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
0
W
Last matches: Strasbourg
16.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Newcastle
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
SC Freiburg
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Brighton
3
4
L
20.07.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Sporting CP
0
7
L
13.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Angers
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lorient
3
2
W
09.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nantes
3
2
W
12.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Auxerre
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Marseille
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Le Havre
1
2
L
25.01.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lille
4
1
W
10.01.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Avranches
6
0
W
03.01.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nice
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
Strasbourg
Aberdeen
1
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Strasbourg
Toulouse
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lig
Strasbourg
Lens
0
1
L
H2H away: Strasbourg
14.02.26
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
19.01.25
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
12.01.24
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
21.05.22
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
L
30.04.21
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
1
1
D
29.01.20
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
3
1
L
20.10.19
H2H
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.48
Draw 4.17
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.48
Draw 2.60
Home 2.31
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.24
Over 2.25 1.39
Over 2.5 1.56
Over 2.75 1.68
Over 3.0 1.87
Over 3.25 2.10
Over 3.5 2.35
Over 3.75 2.71
Over 4.0 3.37
Under 2.0 4.30
Under 2.25 3.09
Under 2.5 2.54
Under 2.75 2.28
Under 3.0 2.03
Under 3.25 1.79
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.0 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 4.10
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.30
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.46
Draw 4.36
Home 1.78
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.46
Home 2.21
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.15
Draw 2.89
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 1.75 1.15
Over 2.0 1.18
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.62
Over 3.0 1.80
Over 3.25 2.13
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 3.75 2.63
Over 4.0 3.26
Over 4.25 3.52
Over 4.5 3.80
Over 4.75 4.72
Over 5.0 6.40
Over 5.25 6.61
Over 5.5 6.90
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.0 13.50
Under 1.5 4.95
Under 1.75 4.58
Under 2.0 4.15
Under 2.25 3.00
Under 2.5 2.47
Under 2.75 2.23
Under 3.0 1.97
Under 3.25 1.84
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 3.75 1.46
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.25 1.26
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 3.90
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.48
Home 2.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.95
Home 1.98
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.55
Over 2.75 1.67
Over 3.0 1.85
Over 3.25 2.10
Over 3.5 2.33
Over 3.75 2.70
Over 4.0 3.40
Over 4.5 4.10
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 14.00
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 2.75 2.18
Under 3.0 1.94
Under 3.25 1.73
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.45
Under 4.0 1.30
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.01

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Marseille 3 missing
-
F. Moumbagna
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
L. Balerdi
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
Q. Timber
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
Strasbourg 2 missing
-
B. Chilwell
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Panichelli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT