Marseille
Match Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.2%
|
6.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.37 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.37 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
10.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
21.00 |
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 59.2%
Draw 11.2%
Paris Saint Germain Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.46
Paris Saint Germain1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
13 GF / 17 GA
Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
4.6
Shots on Goal
7.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
9 matches
Paris Saint Germain
8 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 2 |
| 13 | Goals For | 15 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.6 | Shots On Goal | 7.67 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 20.33 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 5 |
| 57.8% | Ball Possession | 67% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-4-2 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
Missing players: Marseille 2, Paris Saint Germain 1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 2, Paris Saint Germain wins 10
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
Away
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 |
Marseille
Home
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
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