Mariehamn vs Turku PS Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65%
|
1.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.33 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
27 matches
Turku PS
28 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | Turku PS |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 16 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 32 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 1.3 | Shots On Goal | 1.78 |
| 4.13 | Total Shots | 5.09 |
| 2.3 | Corners | 2.22 |
| 23.2% | Ball Possession | 23.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Turku PS's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Turku PS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 31 points while Mariehamn sit 12 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Turku PS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Turku PS in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Mariehamn sit 12 with 14 points after 22 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 17:43 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), A. Stroud (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Turku PS have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 31 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 0 times, Turku PS won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Mariehamn's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Turku PS
Away
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
L
W
L
W
W
|