BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Marcílio Dias
Match Timeline
Cascavel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
Geovane
Cascavel
50'
Cesinha
Marcílio Dias
55'
Garrinsha
Marcílio Dias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.7%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Marcílio Dias Win 41.6%
Draw 27.3%
Cascavel Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marcílio Dias0.87
Cascavel0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias
WWDLW
11 GF / 7 GA
Cascavel Cascavel
WLDWL
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 11 matches
Cascavel Cascavel 12 matches
Marcílio Dias Statistic Cascavel
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
11 Goals For 12
7 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cascavel. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cascavel having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Marcílio Dias Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Marcílio Dias arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 16 points after 10 matches. With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 9:5, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Davi Torres (2 goals), Manoel (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Cascavel Analysis

Cascavel enter this tie with a season profile built on 15 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 9:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Ze Carlos (3 goals), Kauhe Galdino (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Marcílio Dias won 1 times, Cascavel won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Marcílio Dias's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.7%)
H2H summary: Marcílio Dias wins 1, draws 3, Cascavel wins 2
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
11.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
27.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
1
D
Last matches: Cascavel
12.07.26
Fri
Cascavel
Corinthians
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
H2H: Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel
28.06.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
W
21.06.26
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
09.07.22
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
3
0
L
23.04.22
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D
28.08.21
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
0
L
13.06.21
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
04.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
1
1
D
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
L
02.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
São Luiz
3
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
0
0
D
H2H at home: Marcílio Dias
28.06.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
W
23.04.22
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D
13.06.21
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D
Last matches: Cascavel
07.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Itabirito
1
1
D
17.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
1
1
D
H2H away: Cascavel
28.06.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
L
23.04.22
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D
13.06.21
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D