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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
09.08.2026 12:00
Eleda Stadion
Referee: Fredrik Klitte, Sweden
Malmo FF
Match Timeline
Degerfors IF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
D. Vukojevic · Assist: N. Girmai
Degerfors IF
🔄
46'
O. Rosengren ↔ D. Garcia
Malmo FF
🟨
47'
Robin Dzabic
Degerfors IF
⚽
48'
D. Garcia
Malmo FF
🔄
58'
T. Lundbergh ↔ J. Karlsson
Malmo FF
🟨
62'
Samba Diatara
Degerfors IF
🔄
64'
E. Barsoum ↔ L. Fritzson
Degerfors IF
⚽
70'
D. Vukojevic · Assist: S. Diatara
Degerfors IF
🔄
71'
A. Taranis ↔ K. Boutera
Degerfors IF
🔄
71'
D. Vukojevic ↔ S. Ohlsson
Degerfors IF
🔄
76'
A. Hoog ↔ D. T. Gudjohnsen
Malmo FF
🔄
76'
M. Palsson ↔ I. Assibu
Malmo FF
🟨
79'
Nahom Girmai
Degerfors IF
🔄
85'
A. Faqa ↔ N. Moro
Degerfors IF
🔄
85'
R. Dzabic ↔ O. Leonardsson
Degerfors IF
🟨
90+1'
Kenan Busuladžić
Malmo FF
VAR
90+4'
Andrej Đurić
Degerfors IF

Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Malmo FF Win 71.7%
Draw 5.6%
Degerfors IF Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF1.71
Degerfors IF1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WLDWL
27 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
14
4.93
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malmo FF Malmo FF 21 matches
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 23 matches
Malmo FF Statistic Degerfors IF
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 12
36 Goals For 27
32 Goals Against 39
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
14 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 7
4.93 Shots On Goal 2.8
14.47 Total Shots 11.27
4.8 Corners 4.73
56.5% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Malmo FF's more proactive style and Degerfors IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Degerfors IF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malmo FF expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Degerfors IF in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Degerfors IF having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Degerfors IF. Malmo FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 20 points compared to Degerfors IF in 14 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Malmo FF Analysis

Malmo FF are currently 8 in the standings with 20 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 28:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Erik Botheim (2 goals), Noah Åstrand John (1 goals), Adrian Skogmar (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (2 assists), Noah Åstrand John (1 assists), Otto Rosengren (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Degerfors IF Analysis

With 10 points from 14 games and a place of 14, Degerfors IF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 12:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 8 times, Degerfors IF won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:8 from Malmo FF's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Malmo FF 4-1-4-1 / Degerfors IF 4-1-3-2
Missing players: Malmo FF 8, Degerfors IF 5
H2H summary: Malmo FF wins 8, draws 2, Degerfors IF wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation