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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
12.09.2026 10:00
National Olympic Stadium
Referee: Koji Takasaki, Japan
Machida Zelvia
Match Timeline
Yokohama F. Marinos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
K. Tanimura · Assist: K. Matsumura
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
20'
Hotaka Nakamura
Machida Zelvia
VAR
32'
Kaina Tanimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
45+4'
Ryohei Shirasaki
Machida Zelvia
🔄
46'
H. Nakamura ↔ Kim Min-Tae
Machida Zelvia
🔄
46'
T. Nishimura ↔ T. Yengi
Machida Zelvia
🔄
51'
R. Tsunoda ↔ T. Suzuki
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
65'
K. Matsumura ↔ S. Miidera
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
67'
Tomoki Kondo
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
72'
Takahiro Akimoto
Machida Zelvia
🔄
73'
R. Shirasaki ↔ H. Shimoda
Machida Zelvia
🔄
73'
R. Kikuchi ↔ Y. Matsuo
Machida Zelvia
🔄
79'
R. Miyaichi ↔ T. Kida
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
79'
K. Tanimura ↔ R. Nitta
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟥
81'
Takahiro Akimoto
Machida Zelvia
🔄
81'
K. Chinen ↔ T. Kimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
84'
H. Mae ↔ I. Dresevic
Machida Zelvia
⚽
84'
H. Mochizuki
Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.8%
1.84 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.87 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.5%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Machida Zelvia Win 63.8%
Draw 6.1%
Yokohama F. Marinos Win 30.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Machida Zelvia2.33
Yokohama F. Marinos1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WWDLW
18 GF / 5 GA
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
2
5.67
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 6 matches
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 6 matches
Machida Zelvia Statistic Yokohama F. Marinos
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
18 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 8
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
5 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
5.67 Shots On Goal 3.33
15.33 Total Shots 11.67
4 Corners 3.33
48.3% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Machida Zelvia's more proactive style and Yokohama F. Marinos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Machida Zelvia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Machida Zelvia expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Yokohama F. Marinos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Yokohama F. Marinos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Machida Zelvia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 13 points compared to Yokohama F. Marinos in 9 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Yokohama F. Marinos.

Machida Zelvia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 13 points from 5 games, Machida Zelvia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 15:4, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Nakamura (2 goals), T. Yengi (2 goals), T. Nishimura (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Soma (3 assists), Yuta Nakayama (2 assists), M. Duke (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Yokohama F. Marinos have collected 7 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Tanimura (3 goals), T. Inoue (1 goals), S. Miidera (1 goals), with creative support from J. Amano (2 assists), T. Kondo (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia won 4 times, Yokohama F. Marinos won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Machida Zelvia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1 / Yokohama F. Marinos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Machida Zelvia wins 4, draws 1, Yokohama F. Marinos wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 12:5 7 19
W W W W W
2 8 6 0 2 17:12 5 18
W W L L W
3 8 5 2 1 20:6 14 17
W W L W D
4 8 5 2 1 21:10 11 17
L D W W D
5 8 5 2 1 14:8 6 17
W W W D W
6 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
W D W D L
7 8 3 4 1 16:12 4 13
D W W L W
8 8 4 1 3 17:16 1 13
D L L L W
9 8 4 1 3 11:10 1 13
L W W W L
10 8 4 0 4 16:18 -2 12
W L W W W
11 8 3 2 3 7:12 -5 11
D L D W L
12 8 3 1 4 6:8 -2 10
W W L D L
13 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L L D W D
14 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W L L D W
15 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
D W L D L
16 8 1 3 4 8:14 -6 6
L L L D D
17 8 2 0 6 7:14 -7 6
L L L L W
18 8 1 1 6 9:12 -3 4
L L D L L
19 8 0 4 4 4:12 -8 4
L D D L L
20 8 1 1 6 7:18 -11 4
L D W L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League