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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
18.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Yerson Zambrano, Ecuador
Macara
Match Timeline
Universidad Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. Viera ↔ A. I. Campana
Macara
⚽
52'
E. Clavijo
Universidad Catolica
🔄
58'
M. Tello ↔ T. Chamba
Macara
🔄
58'
L. Ferro ↔ F. Posse
Macara
🟨
64'
Franco Posse
Macara
🔄
67'
J. Estacio ↔ J. Cazares
Macara
🔄
67'
J. Fajardo ↔ L. Moreno
Universidad Catolica
🔄
67'
F. Martinez ↔ S. Yanez
Universidad Catolica
⚽
71'
A. I. Campana · Assist: J. Espinoza
Macara
🟨
73'
Carlos Caicedo
Macara
🔄
75'
J. Espinoza ↔ D. Bolanos
Macara
🔄
81'
M. Diaz ↔ A. Rodriguez
Universidad Catolica
🔄
81'
E. Valencia ↔ M. Alonso
Universidad Catolica
🔄
89'
A. Londono ↔ J. Evans
Universidad Catolica
🟨
90+4'
Denilson Bolaños
Macara

Macara vs Universidad Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Macara Win 64.8%
Draw 10.9%
Universidad Catolica Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macara1.2
Universidad Catolica1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macara Macara
WWDLW
34 GF / 28 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
44 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
13
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macara Macara 26 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 27 matches
Macara Statistic Universidad Catolica
12 Wins 12
5 Draws 6
9 Losses 9
34 Goals For 44
28 Goals Against 28
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
13 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 5
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.65
12.54 Total Shots 13.88
4.67 Corners 4.69
48.3% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Macara come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad Catolica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Macara Analysis

Macara come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 41 points after 24 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 32:24 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Franco Posse (9 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Agustin Campana (3 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (3 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 39 points after 24 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a 39:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on José Fajardo (7 goals), Byron Palacios (4 goals), Emiliano Clavijo (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (7 assists), José Fajardo (2 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:29 from Macara's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
Predicted formations: Macara 4-2-3-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Macara wins 2, draws 4, Universidad Catolica wins 9

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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