ECUADOR › LIGA PRO

05.07.2026 18:00

Macara

1 - 0

LDU de Quito

Estadio Bellavista

Referee: Bryan Loayza, Ecuador

Macara

Match Timeline

LDU de Quito

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Macara vs LDU de Quito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 79.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 58.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 51.1%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	79.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	58.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	51.1%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	0-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Macara Win 42.6%

Draw 20.9%

LDU de Quito Win 36.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Macara0.9

LDU de Quito1.26

Recent Form (Last 5)

Macara

WWDLW

17 GF / 22 GA

LDU de Quito

WLDWL

32 GF / 21 GA

Key Stats

0.94

Average Goals Scored

1.28

1.22

Average Goals Conceded

0.84

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.19

Shots on Goal

3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Macara 18 matches

LDU de Quito 25 matches

Macara	Statistic	LDU de Quito
5	Wins	13
5	Draws	5
8	Losses	7
17	Goals For	32
22	Goals Against	21
0.94	Avg Goals Scored	1.28
1.22	Avg Goals Conceded	0.84
8	BTTS Yes	9
13	Over 1.5	17
8	Over 2.5	7
2	Over 3.5	3
6	Clean Sheets	10
6	Failed To Score	8
4.19	Shots On Goal	3.59
12.63	Total Shots	13.82
5.06	Corners	4.91
49.9%	Ball Possession	48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 4 times, LDU de Quito won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Macara's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (79.1%)

Predicted formations: Macara 4-3-3 / LDU de Quito 5-3-2

H2H summary: Macara wins 4, draws 2, LDU de Quito wins 9

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74	W W L D W
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	51:27	24	51	W W D D W
3	Macara Home	30	15	6	9	41:33	8	51	W L W W L
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	5	50	D D D W W
5	LDU de Quito Away	30	13	7	10	31:24	7	46	D W D L W
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44	D D W L W
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	L W D L W
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	L D W L L
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	W L L W W
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	L W D W L
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	L D D W D
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	D L W L D
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	L W L L L
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	W L L W L
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	D L W L L
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	D L L W L

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