Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.2%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.10 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.64 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Luverdense
11 matches
Ceilândia
11 matches
| Luverdense | Statistic | Ceilândia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 13 | Goals For | 10 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs Luverdense's more proactive style and Ceilândia's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Luverdense hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Ceilândia now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceilândia having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ceilândia. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Luverdense enter this tie with a season profile built on 15 points from 10 matches, placing them 2 in their league. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:10, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Pedro Bortoluzo (5 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Ceilândia come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 12 points from 10 matches. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses plus a goal ratio of 9:10, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Julen (2 goals), Marquinho (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Luverdense won 1 times, Ceilândia won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Luverdense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Goiânia
Luverdense
Goianésia
Luverdense
Mixto
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Porto Velho
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Barra
Ceilândia
Barra
Ceilândia
Água Santa
Ceilândia
Água Santa
Ceilândia
Goianésia
Ceilândia
Goiânia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Mixto
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Goiânia
Luverdense
Mixto
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Porto Velho
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Goianésia
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
Barra
Ceilândia
Água Santa
Ceilândia
Goiânia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Goianésia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 17 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Luverdense
Home
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:20 | -17 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|