Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
56.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ludogorets
54 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
35 matches
| Ludogorets | Statistic | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 14 |
| 14 | Draws | 13 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 86 | Goals For | 36 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 23 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.78 | Shots On Goal | 2.59 |
| 11.22 | Total Shots | 6.91 |
| 4.31 | Corners | 2.34 |
| 41.3% | Ball Possession | 29.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together Ludogorets's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Plovdiv's more cautious structure, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Ludogorets had more of the ball in the first leg (71% possession compared to 29%). Ludogorets were also more accurate in attack, recording 5 shots on target to 1. Ludogorets also attempted more passes (621 to 238) and completed 524. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Ludogorets enter this tie with a season profile built on 67 points from 36 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 19 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats with goals at 61:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on I. Chochev (17 goals), P. Stanic (9 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (10 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv come into this tie placed 5 in their league with 55 points from 36 matches. With 14 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses plus a goal ratio of 36:41, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Juan Perea (9 goals), J. Zwarts (8 goals), Lucas Ryan (4 goals), with creative support from Cătălin Itu (6 assists), Parvizdzhon Umarbaev (5 assists), J. Lamy (3 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 10 times, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:7 from Ludogorets's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 54:35 | 19 | 67 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 3 |
Ludogorets
Home
|
36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 61:25 | 36 | 67 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 4 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 47:30 | 17 | 63 |
L
L
D
W
W
|