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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.05.2026 02:30
Dignity Health Sports Park
Referee: L. Hernandez
Los Angeles Galaxy
Match Timeline
Houston Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
M. Bogusz
Houston Dynamo
⚽
28'
J. Paintsil · Assist: M. Yamane
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
37'
J. Paintsil
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
38'
A. Resch
Houston Dynamo
⚽
41'
Guilherme · Assist: J. McGlynn
Houston Dynamo
🟨
57'
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
🔄
57'
E. Wynder ↔ Matheus Nascimento
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
57'
E. Thommy ↔ L. Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
66'
O. Lingr ↔ E. Ponce
Houston Dynamo
🔄
67'
M. Yamane ↔ M. Cuevas
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
78'
Artur ↔ D. Samassekou
Houston Dynamo
🔄
78'
H. Herrera ↔ A. Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🔄
79'
J. Paintsil ↔ H. Miller
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
85'
Guilherme ↔ I. Aliyu
Houston Dynamo

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 29.2%
Draw 19.9%
Houston Dynamo Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles Galaxy1.66
Houston Dynamo1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WWDLW
45 GF / 36 GA
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WLDWL
34 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
17
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
10
5.55
Shots on Goal
4.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 26 matches
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 20 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Statistic Houston Dynamo
11 Wins 12
7 Draws 2
8 Losses 6
45 Goals For 34
36 Goals Against 31
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
17 BTTS Yes 11
24 Over 1.5 15
18 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
5.55 Shots On Goal 4.85
13.7 Total Shots 13.38
5.4 Corners 4.77
52.5% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Houston Dynamo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 9 with 19 points after 14 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Pec (5 goals), Joao Klauss (5 goals), M. Reus (4 goals), with creative support from M. Reus (5 assists), Gabriel Pec (4 assists), J. Paintsil (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Houston Dynamo are currently 6 in the standings with 21 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, while the 18:22 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Guilherme (7 goals), L. Ennali (3 goals), Duane Holmes (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (4 assists), L. Ennali (2 assists), J. McGlynn (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3 times, Houston Dynamo won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from Los Angeles Galaxy's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1-4-1 / Houston Dynamo 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Los Angeles Galaxy 4, Houston Dynamo 4
H2H summary: Los Angeles Galaxy wins 3, draws 7, Houston Dynamo wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)