Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.9%
|
1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
1.34 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.95 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.50 |
Los Angeles FC
New York Red Bulls
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Los Angeles FC
36 matches
New York Red Bulls
29 matches
| Los Angeles FC | Statistic | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 9 |
| 11 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 61 | Goals For | 45 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.03 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 4.91 |
| 13.69 | Total Shots | 13.43 |
| 5.81 | Corners | 5.91 |
| 47.3% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and New York Red Bulls's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New York Red Bulls. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward New York Red Bulls having the stronger overall control. New York Red Bulls arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Los Angeles FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 36 points after 23 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 36:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Denis Bouanga (9 goals), David Martínez Morales (4 goals), Son Heung-min (3 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-min (6 assists), Denis Bouanga (2 assists), Tyler Boyd (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
New York Red Bulls sit 8 with 26 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 32:46, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals), Julian Hall (4 goals), Cade Cowell (2 goals), with creative support from Julian Hall (3 assists), Ronald Donkor (3 assists), Emil Forsberg (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 2 times, New York Red Bulls won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 31 | 50 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 47 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 8 | 47 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 10 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 44 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
Home
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 0 | 36 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 36 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | -9 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|