Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.6%
|
1.67 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.58 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
1.59 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.00 |
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Win 78.6%
Draw 7.7%
Rodina Moskva Win 13.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv2.09
Rodina Moskva0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv
WWDLW
22 GF / 9 GA
Rodina Moskva
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lokomotiv
9 matches
Rodina Moskva
9 matches
| Lokomotiv | Statistic | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 5 |
| 22 | Goals For | 8 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv won 2 times, Rodina Moskva won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Lokomotiv's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1 / Rodina Moskva -
H2H summary: Lokomotiv wins 2, draws 0, Rodina Moskva wins 1
Last matches: Lokomotiv
17.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Baltika
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Zenit
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akron
5
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Rubin
0
3
L
09.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Samarqand
4
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Yelimay Semey
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Urartu
3
2
W
05.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Ural
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Noah
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
1
1
D
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chernomorets
0
0
D
18.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Kostroma
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
H2H: Lokomotiv vs Rodina Moskva
30.06.24
H2H
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
0
1
L
22.01.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Rodina Moskva
2
1
L
22.01.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Rodina Moskva
2
1
L
Last matches: Lokomotiv
10.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Baltika
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
1
1
D
22.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Zenit
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akron
5
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Samarqand
4
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Yelimay Semey
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Urartu
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Noah
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Chengdu Better City
4
0
W
23.11.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
3
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Rubin
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
23.08.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
3
3
D
09.08.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
4
2
W
H2H at home: Lokomotiv
30.06.24
H2H
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
0
1
L
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Kostroma
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
1
0
W
H2H away: Rodina Moskva
30.06.24
H2H
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
0
1
W
22.01.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Rodina Moskva
2
1
L
22.01.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Rodina Moskva
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
MATCH WINNER
Away
4.45
Draw
4.10
Home
1.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away
4.34
Draw
2.80
Home
1.97
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.49
Away -0.75
1.89
Away -1
1.69
Away -1.25
1.53
Away -1.5
1.40
Away -1.75
1.29
Away -2
1.16
Away -2.25
1.14
Away -2.5
1.12
Away -2.75
1.06
Away -3
1.01
Away -3.5
1.00
Away +0
3.22
Away +0.25
3.68
Away +0.75
5.24
Away +1
7.90
Away +1.5
8.70
Home -0.25
1.42
Home -0.75
1.78
Home -1
2.10
Home -1.25
2.40
Home -1.5
2.60
Home -1.75
3.11
Home -2
4.10
Home -2.25
4.44
Home -2.5
4.80
Home -2.75
6.05
Home -3
8.50
Home -3.5
9.10
Home +0
1.26
Home +0.25
1.20
Home +0.75
1.09
Home +1
1.02
Home +1.5
1.01
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5
1.01
Over 1.0
1.03
Over 1.25
1.07
Over 1.5
1.14
Over 1.75
1.18
Over 2.0
1.23
Over 2.25
1.43
Over 2.5
1.59
Over 2.75
1.73
Over 3.0
1.88
Over 3.25
2.11
Over 3.5
2.34
Over 3.75
2.70
Over 4.0
3.42
Over 4.25
3.74
Over 4.5
4.00
Over 4.75
4.95
Over 5.0
6.70
Over 5.5
7.20
Under 0.5
13.50
Under 1.0
10.00
Under 1.25
6.01
Under 1.5
4.40
Under 1.75
4.07
Under 2.0
3.60
Under 2.25
2.76
Under 2.5
2.31
Under 2.75
2.07
Under 3.0
1.79
Under 3.25
1.59
Under 3.5
1.48
Under 3.75
1.36
Under 4.0
1.23
Under 4.25
1.19
Under 4.5
1.17
Under 4.75
1.11
Under 5.0
1.05
Under 5.5
1.03
GOALS OVER/UNDER FIRST HALF
Over 0.5
1.26
Over 0.75
1.37
Over 1.0
1.55
Over 1.25
1.95
Over 1.5
2.34
Over 1.75
2.84
Over 2.0
4.15
Over 2.25
4.62
Over 2.5
5.05
Over 3.5
13.50
Under 0.5
3.34
Under 0.75
2.86
Under 1.0
2.30
Under 1.25
1.80
Under 1.5
1.56
Under 1.75
1.38
Under 2.0
1.19
Under 2.25
1.14
Under 2.5
1.12
Under 3.5
1.01
HT/FT DOUBLE
Away/Away
7.70
Away/Draw
15.50
Away/Home
21.00
Draw/Away
10.50
Draw/Draw
6.60
Draw/Home
4.70
Home/Away
35.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Home
2.40
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
No
2.23
Yes
1.58
EXACT SCORE
0:0
13.50
0:1
14.00
0:10
100.00
0:2
24.00
0:3
50.00
0:4
80.00
0:5
100.00
0:6
100.00
0:7
100.00
0:8
100.00
0:9
100.00
1:0
8.70
1:1
7.20
1:10
100.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
31.00
1:4
55.00
1:5
100.00
1:6
100.00
1:7
100.00
1:8
100.00
1:9
100.00
10:0
100.00
10:1
100.00
10:10
100.00
10:2
100.00
10:3
100.00
10:4
100.00
10:5
100.00
10:6
100.00
10:7
100.00
10:8
100.00
10:9
100.00
2:0
9.00
2:1
8.00
2:10
100.00
2:2
11.00
2:3
32.00
2:4
60.00
2:5
100.00
2:6
100.00
2:7
100.00
2:8
100.00
2:9
100.00
3:0
14.00
3:1
12.50
3:10
100.00
3:2
21.00
3:3
65.00
3:4
100.00
3:5
100.00
3:6
100.00
3:7
100.00
3:8
100.00
3:9
100.00
4:0
18.00
4:1
15.50
4:10
100.00
4:2
26.00
4:3
100.00
4:4
100.00
4:5
100.00
4:6
100.00
4:7
100.00
4:8
100.00
4:9
100.00
5:0
40.00
5:1
36.00
5:10
100.00
5:2
100.00
5:3
100.00
5:4
100.00
5:5
100.00
5:6
100.00
5:7
100.00
5:8
100.00
5:9
100.00
6:0
80.00
6:1
80.00
6:10
100.00
6:2
100.00
6:3
100.00
6:4
100.00
6:5
100.00
6:6
100.00
6:7
100.00
6:8
100.00
6:9
100.00
7:0
100.00
7:1
100.00
7:10
100.00
7:2
100.00
7:3
100.00
7:4
100.00
7:5
100.00
7:6
100.00
7:7
100.00
7:8
100.00
7:9
100.00
8:0
100.00
8:1
100.00
8:10
100.00
8:2
100.00
8:3
100.00
8:4
100.00
8:5
100.00
8:6
100.00
8:7
100.00
8:8
100.00
8:9
100.00
9:0
100.00
9:1
100.00
9:10
100.00
9:2
100.00
9:3
100.00
9:4
100.00
9:5
100.00
9:6
100.00
9:7
100.00
9:8
100.00
9:9
100.00
HIGHEST SCORING HALF
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
1.98
Draw
3.80
DOUBLE CHANCE
Draw/Away
2.15
Home/Away
1.21
Home/Draw
1.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away
4.67
Draw
2.38
Home
2.17
TOTAL - HOME
Over 0.5
1.08
Over 1
1.17
Over 1.5
1.60
Over 2
2.08
Over 2.5
2.75
Over 3
4.30
Over 3.5
5.00
Under 0.5
5.90
Under 1
4.30
Under 1.5
2.20
Under 2
1.67
Under 2.5
1.40
Under 3
1.16
Under 3.5
1.12
TOTAL - AWAY
Over 0.5
1.40
Over 1
1.93
Over 1.5
2.95
Over 2
5.30
Over 2.5
6.10
Under 0.5
2.70
Under 1
1.77
Under 1.5
1.35
Under 2
1.11
Under 2.5
1.08
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Away -0.25
1.93
Away -0.75
1.40
Away -1
1.17
Away -1.5
1.09
Away +0
2.84
Away +0.25
3.56
Away +0.75
6.58
Away +1
10.50
Home -0.25
1.76
Home -0.75
2.64
Home -1
4.05
Home -1.5
5.25
Home +0
1.36
Home +0.25
1.24
Home +0.75
1.08
Home +1
1.02
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Draw/Away
1.57
Home/Away
1.47
Home/Draw
1.13
ODD/EVEN
Even
1.84
Odd
1.84
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Even
1.74
Odd
1.95
HOME ODD/EVEN
Even
1.82
Odd
1.86
GOALS OVER/UNDER - SECOND HALF
Over 0.5
1.14
Over 0.75
1.19
Over 1.0
1.27
Over 1.25
1.54
Over 1.5
1.81
Over 1.75
2.05
Over 2.0
2.59
Over 2.25
2.96
Over 2.5
3.34
Under 0.5
4.65
Under 0.75
4.12
Under 1.0
3.40
Under 1.25
2.39
Under 1.5
1.94
Under 1.75
1.69
Under 2.0
1.44
Under 2.25
1.32
Under 2.5
1.26
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
0:0
3.34
0:1
6.85
0:2
27.00
0:3
100.00
0:4
100.00
0:5
100.00
1:0
3.80
1:1
7.40
1:2
28.00
1:3
100.00
1:4
100.00
1:5
100.00
2:0
8.90
2:1
16.00
2:2
50.00
2:3
100.00
2:4
100.00
2:5
100.00
3:0
27.00
3:1
48.00
3:2
100.00
3:3
100.00
3:4
100.00
3:5
100.00
4:0
80.00
4:1
100.00
4:2
100.00
4:3
100.00
4:4
100.00
4:5
100.00
5:0
100.00
5:1
100.00
5:2
100.00
5:3
100.00
5:4
100.00
5:5
100.00
DOUBLE CHANCE - SECOND HALF
Draw/Away
1.69
Home/Away
1.34
Home/Draw
1.15
BOTH TEAMS SCORE - FIRST HALF
No
1.24
Yes
3.64
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE - SECOND HALF
No
1.38
Yes
2.80
AWAY ODD/EVEN
Even
1.68
Odd
2.03
CORRECT SCORE - SECOND HALF
0:0
4.65
0:1
7.80
0:2
24.00
0:3
85.00
0:4
100.00
0:5
100.00
1:0
4.40
1:1
6.90
1:2
21.00
1:3
80.00
1:4
100.00
1:5
100.00
2:0
7.90
2:1
12.20
2:2
35.00
2:3
100.00
2:4
100.00
2:5
100.00
3:0
20.00
3:1
31.00
3:2
75.00
3:3
100.00
3:4
100.00
3:5
100.00
4:0
60.00
4:1
85.00
4:2
100.00
4:3
100.00
4:4
100.00
4:5
100.00
5:0
100.00
5:1
100.00
5:2
100.00
5:3
100.00
5:4
100.00
5:5
100.00
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Even
1.79
Odd
1.89
ASIAN HANDICAP (2ND HALF)
Away -0.25
2.08
Away -0.75
1.52
Away -1
1.28
Away -1.5
1.16
Away -2
1.01
Away +0
2.88
Away +0.25
3.48
Away +0.75
5.56
Away +1
9.80
Home -0.25
1.65
Home -0.75
2.30
Home -1
3.12
Home -1.5
4.10
Home -2
8.60
Home +0
1.35
Home +0.25
1.25
Home +0.75
1.09
Home +1
1.00
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5
1.60
Over 1
2.60
Over 1.5
3.90
Over 2
9.60
Over 2.5
11.50
Under 0.5
2.20
Under 1
1.44
Under 1.5
1.21
Under 2
1.02
Under 2.5
1.01
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5
2.27
Over 1
5.80
Over 1.5
8.30
Under 0.5
1.56
Under 1
1.10
Under 1.5
1.04
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5
1.42
Over 1
1.95
Over 1.5
2.90
Over 2
6.20
Over 2.5
7.80
Under 0.5
2.65
Under 1
1.76
Under 1.5
1.35
Under 2
1.09
Under 2.5
1.05
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5
1.94
Over 1
4.00
Over 1.5
5.90
Under 0.5
1.77
Under 1
1.20
Under 1.5
1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away
4.45
Draw
4.10
Home
1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away
4.67
Draw
2.38
Home
2.17
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away
4.34
Draw
2.80
Home
1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5
1.01
Over 1.0
1.03
Over 1.25
1.07
Over 1.5
1.14
Over 1.75
1.18
Over 2.0
1.23
Over 2.25
1.43
Over 2.5
1.59
Over 2.75
1.73
Over 3.0
1.88
Over 3.25
2.11
Over 3.5
2.34
Over 3.75
2.70
Over 4.0
3.42
Over 4.25
3.74
Over 4.5
4.00
Over 4.75
4.95
Over 5.0
6.70
Over 5.5
7.20
Under 0.5
13.50
Under 1.0
10.00
Under 1.25
6.01
Under 1.5
4.40
Under 1.75
4.07
Under 2.0
3.60
Under 2.25
2.76
Under 2.5
2.31
Under 2.75
2.07
Under 3.0
1.79
Under 3.25
1.59
Under 3.5
1.48
Under 3.75
1.36
Under 4.0
1.23
Under 4.25
1.19
Under 4.5
1.17
Under 4.75
1.11
Under 5.0
1.05
Under 5.5
1.03