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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
16.09.2026 17:45
RZD Arena
Lokomotiv
Match Timeline
Krylia Sovetov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Nikolay Komlichenko
Lokomotiv
🟨
33'
Nikita Chernov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
41'
Daniil Chevardin
Lokomotiv
🟨
43'
Islam Chesnokov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
45+1'
Aleksandr Rudenko
Lokomotiv
🔄
45'
Vitaliy Shitov ↔ Amar Rahmanović
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
45'
Islam Chesnokov ↔ Nikita Saltykov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
48'
Maksim Nenakhov
Lokomotiv
⚽
53'
Nikolay Komlichenko
Lokomotiv
🟨
59'
Fernando Constanza
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
64'
Ilya Eremeev
Lokomotiv
🔄
66'
Daniil Chevardin ↔ Vadim Rakov
Lokomotiv
⚽
67'
Amar Rahmanović · Assist: Nikita Saltykov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
70'
Maksim Vityugov ↔ Kirill Stolbov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
71'
Nikolay Titkov ↔ Zelimkhan Bakaev
Lokomotiv
🟨
74'
Amar Rahmanović
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
80'
Martin Kramarič ↔ Mihajlo Banjac
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
80'
Mikhail Galaktionov
Lokomotiv
🔄
86'
Nikolay Komlichenko ↔ Sergey Pinyaev
Lokomotiv
🔄
86'
Aleksandr Rudenko ↔ Danila Godyaev
Lokomotiv
🔄
86'
Nikolay Rasskazov ↔ Dominik Oroz
Krylia Sovetov

Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.6%
Odds 2.01
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.66
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.6%
2.01 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.66 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.4%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.20 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Win 29.5%
Draw 26.3%
Krylia Sovetov Win 44.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv1.82
Krylia Sovetov1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
WWDLW
46 GF / 22 GA
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WLDWL
31 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
2.88
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 24 matches
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 19 matches
Lokomotiv Statistic Krylia Sovetov
12 Wins 6
6 Draws 5
6 Losses 8
46 Goals For 31
22 Goals Against 32
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
11 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
2.88 Shots On Goal 5.13
12.88 Total Shots 12.63
3.13 Corners 3.38
51.1% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Krylia Sovetov. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Lokomotiv Analysis

So far, Lokomotiv have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 6 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 6:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Z. Bakaev (1 goals), Aleksandr Silyanov (1 goals), Aleksey Batrakov (1 goals), with creative support from Z. Bakaev (1 assists), Aleksandr Silyanov (1 assists), Aleksey Batrakov (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

Krylia Sovetov sit 12 with 7 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Rahmanović (2 goals), I. Oleynikov (1 goals), M. Vityugov (1 goals), with creative support from I. Oleynikov (2 assists), Mihajlo Banjac (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv won 5 times, Krylia Sovetov won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Lokomotiv's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.7%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1 / Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lokomotiv 2, Krylia Sovetov 2
H2H summary: Lokomotiv wins 5, draws 8, Krylia Sovetov wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
10 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
11 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
12 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
13 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL